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Intel Corporation Message Board

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  • alexander.dumbass alexander.dumbass Jan 6, 2013 10:50 PM Flag

    Here's why the margin and price myth will be busted

    "“a potential gross margin nightmare.” With the increasing popularity of lower-margin chips and rising competition from ARM in the microprocessor market, Intel could see its margins fall from the mid-60 percent range to the 50-percent range in the next two years."

    Intel worst case, bad, ugly margin NIGHTMARE would be if the Intel margin dropped to the same level that TSM has today. TSM margin is 48%. TSM PE ratio is 17.4. INTC PE ratio is 9.2.

    I expect that Intel will at least cram the whole phone or whole tablet logic into 1 package and then sell that part for value and there will be a number of companies who will want a share of the smartphone and tablet markets. Intel will put them into the market and make them successful. They will sell the transistors and fill the fabs. There will 4 players: Samsung, Apple, QCOM and Intel.

    The market is pricing in a collapse in Intel revenue and margins. If it happens, Intel will probably have to slow down the dividend increases. If it doesn't the analysts will eventually have to face their error.

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