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Intel Corporation Message Board

  • think2ice_007 think2ice_007 Jul 13, 1999 4:43 PM Flag

    rtq 70

    duh!!!!!!!!!1

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    • Your market data service is evidently experiencing technical difficulties.

    • No one knew 5 weeks ago that INTC was going to
      have a good second half. They invested because they
      believed that INTC would perform in the current
      quarter.

      Also during the CC INTC directed analysts to lower
      their Q3 earnings forcast from $0.58 to $0.52. This
      does not bode well for Q3. Dead money.

      The
      following is from Briefing.com:

      Intel (INTC) 65 3/8
      -1/16: It is shaping up to be a weak year for Intel. The
      company
      reported Q2 EPS of $0.51, missing the First Call
      estimate by two cents. The revenue
      number was the
      problem for Intel this quarter. At the beginning of the
      quarter, the
      company expected revenues to be "flat to
      slightly down" from Q1; in fact, they fell a

      more-than-slight 5.0%. The earnings miss would have been much
      worse had it not been
      for the fact that gross
      margins held at 59% instead of falling, as had been
      expected. Cost
      improvements and manufacturing
      efficiencies offset the lower average selling prices that

      were the result of a shift to Celeron processors. The
      future looks much like the recent
      past for Intel. Q3
      revenues are expected to rise only slightly from Q2, which
      is not that
      impressive given a seasonal tendency
      for revenues to rise better than 7% in Q3. Cost

      cutting will help keep margins high, however, which will
      in turn help to support
      earnings. But based on
      today's guidance, higher margins will probably not be
      enough to
      prevent Q3 earnings from missing current
      analyst estimates. The First Call estimate for
      Q3 was
      $0.58 prior to today's release, but Intel's guidance
      points to a number closer to
      $0.52. The problems for
      Intel are clear -- the market is moving rapidly to its
      lower price
      Celeron processor. The demand for ever
      higher processor speeds is not there, and the
      growth
      segment of the market is shifting to the low end. We have
      been arguing for more
      than a year that processor
      speed is the old paradigm and that Intel will struggle
      to
      remain a growth company in that environment.
      Today's earnings report gives us more
      confidence that
      this view is correct. INTC shares initially dropped 2
      points in after hours
      trading, but subsequently
      rebounded to near unchanged. - GJ

    • So I'm a hopeful long? Bought 1000 shares for my
      IRA at a split adjusted $15 in early 1996. Those
      original 1000 shares are now 4000 shares at today's close
      of $65 3/8.

      Let's see that's a $246,500 paper
      gain on a $15,000 investment in less than 4 years. I
      can live with that. Think long-term and invest in
      stocks that historically split. Quit worrying about this
      quarter or next quarter. The real creation of wealth
      occurs when one has a long-term investment horizon and
      invests in stocks that have past records of
      splitting.

      Hint: Intel (INTC) will split an additional 3 times
      during the next 7 years. Think about that. If they are
      all 2:1 splits, my 4000 shares will become 32,000
      shares.

      Get on board. Don't screw around trying to scalp a
      couple of points here and there.

      StellarLight

    • You are so wrong to think that what happens 3 to
      6 months out doesn't matter. Trust me when I tell
      you that no one cares what Intel did last quarter or
      two quarters in terms of how the company is valued
      (i.e. share price). If you value a company's prospects
      on either DCF (discounted cash flow) or earnings,
      only the future truly matters.

      I wouldn't waste
      my time guiding analysts lower for $0.02. By the
      time that you know you'll miss, it's several days
      before earnings release (and you're in the quiet
      period). What is much more important is what is to come,
      which can be somewhat accurately forecast through
      orders (i.e. book-to-bill ratios, etc.).

    • You are so wrong to think that what happens 3 to
      6 months out doesn't matter. Trust me when I tell
      you that no one cares what Intel did last quarter or
      two quarters in terms of how the company is valued
      (i.e. share price). If you value a company's prospects
      on either DCF (discounted cash flow) or earnings,
      only the future truly matters.

    • guys their shares, you fools.

    • so cute

    • anyone know it????

    • DAMN !!!
      Should have shorted at the end of the
      day.

      Hey long's, I've been w/ DEAD MONEY before and there
      is no loyalty to stocks on the street. It's all
      about making and perserving money. No one wants to see
      their stock deteriorate. I'm gonna open up a HUGE short
      position like many traders and cover in a couple days to
      weeks.

      NOTE:
      - closing price does not reflect
      current infor. w.r.t earnings
      - recent run-up was
      expecting INTC to beat or meet estimates
      - all companies
      issue "positive" forward looking statements during bad
      news
      - INTC has international exposure thus any bad
      economic news world wide will EFFECT INTC
      - FOMC and
      interest rate scare to come
      - NAZ has been HOT and will
      probably see small/medium pullback


      You don't
      have to believe this post by ask yourself:
      - Why
      should I buy a stock in the morning that will probably
      be worth less in a couple of weeks ?
      - What is
      going to move the stock up so I can sell it to some
      sucker for a higher price ?

      Don't believe this
      post or any other posters here. Just do WHAT you think
      will earn you PROFIT.

      TAWT_TA3

    • Agree wholeheartedly with your analysis. Anyone
      who thinks the most recent quarters results is going
      to doom Intel to anything more than a couple of
      weeks of underperformance needs to take Investment 101
      over again.

      Market looks forward, not
      backward. Those who want to short, go ahead. Makes it
      easier for me to add to my existing balance of Intel
      shares.

      Net income up 49% compared to Q298.
      Earnings up 55% compared to Q298. Gross margins at 59%.
      Yep!! Those are absolutely horrible numbers and the
      stock deserves to be taken out back and beat up.


      Not !!

      StellarLight

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