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Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Message Board

  • psv_sharks psv_sharks Sep 12, 2013 12:40 AM Flag

    Anyone playing options on TSLA?

    What strategy are you implementing???

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    • anyone?

    • Trade Friday options on Fridays for abrupt swings. Then don't buy anything more than a couple days out until end of September to see if the convertible bonds will convert. Lot of time value in the near the money options right now. The earnings release in November changes the landscape and sets forth a new direction. The only reality investing in TSLA is trying to trade off actual financials. Everything else is hype, bubble and convertible note conversion attempts now. Hype is more than marketing and planning. The time value in the hype is huge. When a company making 21000-22000 cars a year says they are getting ready to build a cheap EV and analysts say $300/share if they make 500,000 a year, then it's not a realistic "guarantee". The pps trading range should change in October and then again after earnings release. Reality will eventually set in. The true value of TSLA is under $100/share but when will it get there? Who knows.

    • I'm thinking of a long term long-strangle. I will probably pick expiration dates in 2015. By then, Tesla should be either really successful trading at $200+ or sold off below $50. A lot of uncertainties should be cleared off by then.

      Sentiment: Hold

    • One of the more popular strategies is to lose money through puts. Most of us realize that parabolic moves correct, and so buying puts looks like an easy way to make money. But the same logic would have suggested that at $100, $110, etc. Nothing really different here. Clearly retail investors aren't keeping such a pricey stock afloat. So this means mutual funds and/or hedge funds are supporting it. Personally, I think hedge funds move it around at will, and use it to make money from short positions. Today's close was a great example. A couple times it appeared it might begin to sell off more and then mysteriously the bid/ask would start moving higher. It would not surprise me at all if Cramer and others who make negative comments about the stock have been enlisted to help draw in more shorts. Cramer is smart enough to see what is taking place. Definitely not a smart short at the present time IMO. On the other hand, if you're long, it is nice to have the protection of the big boys.

    • I picked up some OCT put options around $169, after MACD and RSI crossed to the downside at the same time (MACD was also significantly lower than the May peak) on the Daily.

      Two days ago looked like a downside tasuki gap pattern too, so am hoping it wasn't just a 20MA test before ripping higher.

      I'm not necessarily looking for a huge downside move like a lot of people seem to be expecting, just looking for a test of the 50MA at around $142.

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