I'd call it 8/8/2015, based on making a vague comparison with BBRY. That is, it becomes successful and established before having encounters with reality, and later losing market share due to competition and also developing a reputation for somewhat mediocre quality that stays with it.
The stock will be at $400 6 months after the release of model X. I will send you a gift card if you want zoe. I am predicting sales of at least 2 million model E. maybe 5 million.. I'll have to raise my guidance once the prototype is revealed
Hard to say, it could be as early as the next Q3 report in November when they show loss again or minimal profit and they delay model X and Gen-3 dates. Then it will become obvious how silly the current valuation really is.
I'm with you. The day after the Q3 earnings report comes out. The stock will start tracking down a few weeks before that, and the bottom will fall out after the news. The stock will continue to fall for the next several months afterwards, with minor jump ups on the way. Will settle in the mid $30's.
1Q14 results won't be published until early May. That's when the reality of year-over-year growth will be starkly apparent. Put me down for 5/19/14. 2016 LEAPS should start trading on Armistice Day.