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LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. Message Board

  • killswitch980 killswitch980 Sep 20, 2012 4:07 PM Flag

    LF in that weird place trading 8.40 to 9.30

    I can see a blowout quarter in Nov and it going back to the 12's before Feb 2013 earnings call. This will be the big earnings call next year to see how this holiday season plays out and what effect the new toysrus tablet has on LF. If everything goes great then 15/share sometime next year. The one thing about LF is over the last 5 to 7 years they have tanked to the 1's, 2's & 3's so there's always danger here BUT they always go back to the 7's to 12's after a big tank job. Seems like the big insider guy that sold all last year is gone. Management seems to be much better like is was in the late 90's to early/mid 2000's. That being said the cheaper you can get shares here the better. In the past year it made an amazing run from 2.58 to 12.21. It doesn't get much better than that. The CEO picked up 70,000 shares in the 2's a year ago. What a great buy! All 5 analysts have targets of 13 to 15 a share here. Next years est are .79 so it's trading around 11 times next years earnings.

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    • davesmith49@rocketmail.com davesmith49 Sep 24, 2012 2:39 PM Flag

      I'm not sure where the bottom is on this one. I I've bought in at 8.63, 8.69, 8.40, and 8.13. When it comes to electronic gadgets, I look at their ratings on Amazon. People love these suckers. Revenue is up strong year over year. I like the stock after this pullback. Just need the price to settle into a range before it can move higher.

      Sentiment: Buy

      • 1 Reply to davesmith49
      • It's been trading over 8 for 6 months now reaching as high as the 12's not long ago. We all know only reason for the drop is fear of what damage the toysrus tablet will do to the leappad. If the lawsuit to block the release of the toysrus tablet won LF would see 12's very quickly. Only reason for the weakness of late is toysrus tablet FEAR. If nothing happens in the lawsuit and toysrus wins I think LF will have a good Q3 and probably good Q4 quarter anyway. LF down 28.5% in the last month. I'd like to think all bad news is priced in now.

    • davesmith49@rocketmail.com davesmith49 Sep 24, 2012 2:39 PM Flag

      I'm not sure where the bottom is on this one. I I've bought in at 8.63, 8.69, 8.40, and 8.13. When it comes to electronic gadgets, I look at their ratings on Amazon. People love these suckers. Revenue is up strong year over year. I like the stock after this pullback. Just need the price to settle into a range before it can move higher.

      Sentiment: Buy

    • Absolutely strange price action. Not sure if it was driven down on purpose, or just the normal movement generated by greed and fear. My guess is for the later.

      Recall the large drop on the day of the announcement of the Toys R Us Tabeo. So many thought that TRU would not sell a competing product to their own Tabeo. Tonight Toys R Us came out with their top 15 Holiday items that includes both the Leappad 2 and Tabeo. Indicating Toys R Us has no intention to stop selling the Leappad 2 and knows Leappad 2 will continue to be a great seller this holiday season.

      The Amazon sales rank of Leappad 2 also continues to indicate strong sales now, but this should improve further for the holidays.

      Looking to buy more LF here but also would not mind a better deal.

      • 1 Reply to monkey567x
      • LF hit 12.21 just before Toysrus news and since then been bouncing between 8's and 9's. Market conditions have been great overall in general but LF been trading on fear of late only because of the toysrus news. The new toysrus tablet gets released on Oct 21 I think and Q3 earnings is Nov 1st so this quarter it will have no impact on LF's earnings which I think will be good. Leappad 1 price drop to 79 and Leappad 2 is out now. LF will just flop around until earnings which probably will push it back to 52 week highs of 12's afterwards before Q4 results in Feb of 2013 is my guess but you never obviously know.

 
LF
7.32-0.06(-0.81%)Jul 28 4:02 PMEDT

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