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LeapFrog Enterprises Inc. Message Board

  • classical_gas_investor classical_gas_investor Jul 11, 2013 9:01 AM Flag

    Holiday info follow-up

    "That list means nothing in the summer"

    Thanks for the info. Yes, I realize that the 4th quarter (Christmas) is critical to the toy industry, actually they can make up to half of their annual sales during this quarter. However, a well received toy (got-to-have) that is released in the summer will build sales and consumer frenzy momentum for the holiday season. A toy scoring and selling well on this list initially before a possible holiday season mark down in price is a plus plus for the total LF yearly revenue. We want to get on the best selling list asap, I would expect this (LeapPad Ultra) to be in the top 10 or so soon after release.

    For the serious data nut investors here, you might check out the NPD group, they provide invaluable market reports for many sectors. Not sure if the individual investor can signup for every detailed report but checkout their site some reports/articles are available for free.

    Good call on NEON, I've been watching this since the June 29th article but that 1/25 reverse split back in 2011 had be very cautious. Once a company does a reverse split it's very difficult for me to have faith in their products or management. Great call again, I'll watch from the sidelines, I love to take contrarian positions in stocks near their 52 week low, just got burned too many times getting into a stock late and chasing the frenzy.

    P.S. Yahoo, I really like the old message board format better, this is the 3rd time that I've tried to post this message, I don't get it.

    Good investing.

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    • I love to take contrarian positions in stocks near their 52 week low, just got burned too many times getting into a stock late and chasing the frenzy.

      Interesting comment because that's the way i used to invest. I found that many times depending on the reason for the drop in PPS I got a big score, but many other times there was a good reason for the fall that the small investor just didn't know about. I found that stocks with great yearly charts and close to the 52wkhigh were the ticket for me. Sooner or later there would be a pull back and I would jump in knowing the charts showed they would be back at that high and pass it on the strong business plan that got them that far..
      The way I found out what works better for me was the track 2 "watch lists", one withe stocks at or near 52wk high and the other with stocks that fell out of favor for things I couldn't find good reasons for. Over a period of 1 year I was "SHOCKED" at the results. Try it and see if it works for you. Good Luck!

      • 1 Reply to superbowl6wins
      • classical_gas_investor classical_gas_investor Jul 11, 2013 11:41 AM Flag

        Thanks for the info, I guess I should've expanded on my statement. My contrarian picks are initially started with out of favor sectors not necessarily individual holdings. These sectors are expected to rally in several quarters but are still several months from turning around.

        For example a month ago I started purchasing engineering construction/infrastructure stocks/ETFs and took a position in silver (CAT, CBI, FWLT, FLR, PSLV, INF), I picked up a few shares of a utility company (HE) also. I'm also now semi-interested in the pollution & recovery (water/air purification & filtration) control industry as well as energy.

        I do very little trading anymore and most of my portfolio is now comprised of income funds. Good investing, good luck and whatever makes you a profit stick with it.

    • CGI - Yes I agree. Once released the Amazon ranking should tell a lot even if it's not the holidays. I don't think 'normal' people can get most NPD data, but during the holidays you will see news stories about NPD rankings for the top toys.

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