Good news as expected and thinks market is setting up for a short squeeze. Also thinks that since management has imposed a deadline that they feel very comfortable that they have or will have very desireable bids.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
Wrong. They have old bids from all, but not final or binding. All now must submit final, best bids that reflect PNG project approval and are binding, i.e. approved by their approval authorities (BOD, Capex Committee, etc.), that will be the basis for partner(s) selection. The remaining time allows for all that, and final bids are likely to be higher. It is NOT just a "formality".
Sentiment: Strong Buy
Ed, note that the real quote is "it signifies that management is comfortable with what’s already on the table." NOT "they feel very comfortable that they have or will have VERY DESIRABLE BIDS". Not trying to rain on anyone's parade, but you may want to be careful about accuracy, or people are going to agree with Erics portrayal of you as a pumper. Personally, I just think you get a little over-exited at times, but remember it is always better to create expectations that can be surpassed. That is what I believe helps stock price in the end. At least it consistently worked for Steve Jobs at Apple.
Decision Time: LNG Partnership Talks to Conclude Within Five Weeks
♦ In our InterOil brief on December 4, we underscored that year-end did not represent a
deadline of any kind for the long-awaited LNG project partnership / resource selldown
announcement. In fact, after getting burned several times in the past by setting (and then
missing) self-imposed deadlines for business development milestones, this time around
InterOil itself has stayed away from promising any specific timeframe for getting a deal
done. But that changed today, as the company publicly disclosed a precise timetable for
wrapping up the partnership talks.
♦ February 28 – exactly five weeks from today – is the date on which the final binding bids
are due from all the prospective partners. Let’s make it clear what this means. Late last
year, management stated that bids have been received from at least four interested
parties: two major oil companies, one national oil company, and one utility (Kogas, based
on its own public comments). Those bids are preliminary, i.e. they could be categorized as
letters of intent or term sheets. As is customary in such cases, negotiations have taken
place between the sides to refine specific points. Once the final binding bids are submitted,
InterOil plans to meet with its investment bankers during the first week of March.
InterOil’s board will then be able to make a decision on which bid to accept. If the decision
is straightforward – one bid is clearly superior to all others – then an announcement can be
made very quickly. If the decision is more complicated, then the board’s deliberations
would presumably take longer. Either way, once InterOil decides, the winning bid can be
converted into a formal contract by signing on the proverbial dotted line.
♦ One point we have previously made in our research is the risk that InterOil will allow the
perfect to be the enemy of the good in these negotiations – in other words, the natural
tension between management’s desire to hold out for the best possible deal terms and the
equity market’s desire for instant gratification. The fact that the company feels confident
enough to self-impose a deadline for concluding the negotiations is encouraging, because
it signifies that management is comfortable with what’s already on the table. There
obviously remains plenty of market skepticism that the company will deliver a deal. Given
this skepticism, short interest has ramped up, and we think the stock is setting up for a
short squeeze once the partnership announcement comes out.
Sentiment: Strong Buy
Any of you ever been in business? These bids, if there are any, will be as solid as swiss cheese, with tons of contingencies and variables. Anyone who thinks this is the end of the long road towards a jackpot of gold are so naive as to deserve the fleecing you are about to get.
Consider it tuition and it might not be so painful.
Sorry Ed, your word is no good. Exactly where did you hear this? Why can't you post an exact quote?
Besides, everyone knows Pavel Mochanov works for Raymond James. They did about $40 million in debenture deals for IOC as investment banker so Pavel is not objective and is CONFLICTED from word go.
Sentiment: Strong Sell