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InterOil Corporation Message Board

  • valuesleuth valuesleuth Nov 7, 2013 11:06 AM Flag

    What does the IOC option market presently reflect?

    The IV (implied volatility; premiums) of IOC's options for the near term -- say the next 30 days -- is sending a message that there is little expectation of a material price altering event.

    The question is whether that is based on leaked information or just reflects that IOC has become an EXTREME SHOW ME STOCK.

    I tend to believe the latter, as so many players have been repeatedly burned on the long call side of the equation over many years trying to interpret the words "soon", "imminent", and/or "reasonable time frame."

    Another possibility is that the announcement is not likely to generate lasting enthusiasm for IOC. This could well be the result if it appears that it will be many years before cash begins to flow TO IOC, rather than OUT of IOC's coffers.

    As I've stated before, it could well be that the next substantial price appreciation in IOC's stock could be triggered by DRILLING RESULTS.

    We'll see about all of this in the fullness of time.

    Meanwhile, it is nice to see the wild-eyed predictors of instant riches have become somewhat restrained or beaten down by their repeated failures to be right about much of anything.

    VS

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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IOC
58.60-0.61(-1.03%)Nov 26 4:02 PMEST

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