last week they pegged the 57.5s and this week they are pegging for 55s. So obvious what they are doing yet no one (SEC) seems to care. They just dropped this POS .70 in the past hour off no volume right to 55.
Tough call. Just looking at the fundamentals it is undervalued big time but..... there is normally a lurking reason for this. The vibe right now is negative due to all the rumors surrounding the ferts about how the demand is down. If that is true then I expect MOS along with POT and the others to all guide lower next quarter. If that happens we may see 40s again, albeit briefly. If they do not warn then MOS will see 60 before the end of March.
I say if you must buy before earnings I would hedge it somehow or buy a smaller amount. 55 should be a safe price with a hedge.