Record low rainfall in the Philipines, Australia and parts of S. America related to el nino; flooding in parts of the midwest US which may later turn to drought; volcanic ash which may impact Europe and Russia. Ample reasons to speculate on a summer rise in DBA.
Article in LA Times today: extreme drought in Yunnan Province in China, and many parts of SE Asia. Crop failures. Over 500 million people live in the drought areas of China and SE Asia. Other areas of china are plagued with flooding. The India monsoon has yet to develop; if it fails, we could add another 1 billion people to the drought areas.