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Herbalife Ltd. Message Board

  • careful_investor_wins careful_investor_wins Aug 29, 2013 11:54 AM Flag

    Shorts can send this stock above $100 easily

    Shorts have overextended themselves here with 44% of shares shorted. That is a lot of shares to buy and cover. And the only thing shorts have is just a HOPE that the company will be shut down. HOPE is a very bad strategy for investment. With the number of shorted shares so huge, this stock can go above $100 or even $150 easily if the company simply stays in business as usual just like what Avon has been doing for many decades. Shorts need to take any opportunity to buy and cover. Otherwise, better prepare for the stock to double or triple. Ackman is the wrong guy to follow. He was forced to cut the JC Penny loss, and he may be force to do the same here too. Icahn on the other hand has been winning all battles. Big money will exit Ackman and flow to Icahn. Shorts will be squeezed very badly when Ackman loses the battle again just like his wrong bet on JC Penny.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • The silly shorts who do not buy and cover while the price is good will end up paying $100 or $150 to buy and cover. Shorts here are way overextended. All longs have to do are to ask the brokers to get stock certificates from the company, and that will take the short borrowing out of the stock, and shorts will be forced to buy and cover. Or longs can simply put a sell order at $150 and that will lock up the stock, so the broker cannot lend out the stock. Shorts has no power at all. Shorts here are doomed.

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • Dont forget why the shorts came in the 1st place. All companies that went extinct had great short positions forming. Not like the alternative scenario that you might suggest, that a company would just vanish without a cause, without a concern. Poof, and Enron just disappeared. You can bet there were scandals that preceded enron collapse and you can bet shorts became ridiculously high at some point.

      • 1 Reply to ketanpatel4eva
      • careful_investor_wins careful_investor_wins Aug 29, 2013 12:53 PM Flag

        Do you think Soros is dumb? He came into the fight at late stage after arguments on both sides were heard, and he decided he should buy, not sell or stay away. Don't you think he has done his homework before he took position on this extremely controversial trade? SEC is talking to Soros Fund now to hear Soros side of story. If SEC agrees with Soros, then shorts are doomed big time. Shorts may not even have too many days left to buy and cover. I am confident the long side will win because we have one of the smartest investors on earth, Soros, that just took long position recently after considering the arguments on both sides. Ackman will lose again.

        Sentiment: Strong Buy

52.81+5.70(+12.10%)Oct 21 4:00 PMEDT

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