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Keurig Green Mountain, Inc. Message Board

  • squeezetracker squeezetracker Nov 22, 2013 9:30 AM Flag

    DEBUNKING NOISE ON SHORT INTEREST

    There have been call it 700 posts on how killed the shorts are here. Clearly the people chasing this on that premise do not understand much, and no, it is not yahoo's 49% of outstanding stock...

    Here's some fun things to consider though.

    1. Einhorn is short a bunch and so are his hedge fund pm pals. Unlike probably 99.99 percent of retail investors, these guys know how to hedge their downside exposure (long, short, paired or option trades) as well.

    2. Einhorn has said he never covered in his big short from two years ago -- that means he feels no pain until the stock goes above $90 or so.

    3. As of last report Oct 31st, the SHORT INTEREST TOTALED LESS THAN 27% OF OUTSTANDINGS, which here is not too dissimilar from float. YHOO's 49% is just plain lame and anyone relying on yhoo for anything is in trouble.

    Settlement Date Short Interest Avg Daily Share Volume Days To Cover
    10/31/2013 40,079,020 4,691,291 8.543282
    10/15/2013 36,075,088 4,968,340 7.260994

    Read more: http://www.nasdaq.com/symbol/gmcr/short-interest#ixzz2lNiyF3o1

    4. Yesterday some 20m shares traded during the regular session. Add in the say 3m+ AH trade from the day prior and that is likely a big chunk of hedges (both unhedged and box shorts) coming off. Hedge funds covering in box shorts did not lose money here -- those shorts were likely put on above $80 as the idiotic momo chasing happened even AFTER the company said carbonation was 2-3 yrs out.

    5. A few key long term investors look to be quietly exiting the shares. For example, study the 13Fs and learn the relationship between Wellington and Vanguard if you don't know it. These guys own the shares below $30.

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