Well, with some decent news from the housing market, we seem to be headed back in the right direction.
By the way, to any fellow Masco supporter:
How funny is it that when things start moving in the right direction, all the d-bag Masco haters are no where to be found on this board. Just is really too bad that there are not more POSITIVE posts. Hmm, is there a Masco supporters board anywhere that anyone knows of? I would love to relieve myself of being subjected to most of boners that spew their negativity around here?
I agree with your position but let's remember that like Republicans the negative posters have been outsmarted - they're confused and dazed.
I see Masco, a company with 1.2 Billion in cash, best brand companies bouncing back very quickly. The dividens are why I am buying up stocks like AA, Intel, MAS, etc. It's not for the quick buck like most retards - the times are a changing and accountability will be put back into the market for value added investing with peace of mind.
i'm still here and it's funny how many of the "strong buys" come out after the stock is up 100% from the lows. I maintain my view that this stock will trade below $3 this year. The housing market is still extremely weak and if you parse the new starts data and existing home sales data which both are being viewed as extremely positive, you'll understand that this data is far from re-assuring. The new start data was largely driven by multi-family homes that are either "for rent" complexes (hardly good for housing market) or more disconcerting they are large condo units which would be "for sale" which just adds more inventory to the system. AS for the sales in February, it is partially a timing issue. December Pending Home Sales were up ~5% and there is usually a 2 month lag between this # and the actual sales #. If you look at November Pending Home Sales, the figure was down 4%. The actual sales # in Jan '09 -- negative 5%. January's pending home sales # was -8% and new home sales were -10% for January so I'm anticipating March existing home sales to be down pretty significantly yoy and sequentially. we'll know on April 23rd.
also, distressed home sales were 40% of sales in February and inventory increased 5% in February despite the stronger sales #. Bottom line, the market is still extremely weak, the economy is deteriorating further and MAS is an over-levered company that can't cut costs fast enough to offset the decline in demand. you should do yourself a favor and exit your stock as you've been given a gift by the recent rally. Also, do you really think we've tested the market lows and all the bad news has been priced into the market? The most recent rally has been driven by positive sentiment from govt initiatives (i.e., private-public investment alliance) that have a long way to go before being implemented. the reality is the Fed hasn't started the printing presses yet, we haven't seen close to the full impact of job losses and further economic weakening and companies haven't reported 1q09 results and outlooks...