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The Coca-Cola Company Message Board

  • mikiesmoky mikiesmoky Aug 19, 2002 10:05 PM Flag

    TECHNICALS at 08-19-12 close

    It appears that there is initial support at 50.90-51.20, with secondary at 49.90-50.20. A break below $49.90 should continue to $48.00, but should hold close to that price.

    Initial resistence appears at 51.95, with heavy resistence at 54.00. A close above 52.50 should provide the energy to test the 54.00 resistence.

    best,


    Michael Z.
    CLOSE: $51.70 (position: neutral)

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    • Today�s activity (09/06/02) was unattractive, at best. During the first 30 minutes, there were two 25-cent �air pockets�, as both times trading around $49.92 and dropped within seconds to the $49.65 area. KO�s short-term range appears to be tightening to $49.00-$50.50. I suggest a 70% probability that KO will break $49.00 next week vs. a 30% probability of trading above $50.50. Fundamentally, I still look for KO to hold at $47.50.
      -(Net neutral) CLOSE: $49.89
      ********************************************************************************
      Today's (09/27/02) activity was enigmatic. The question is "why?". Possibilities: bounce from oversold condition; short covering; assistance from specialist; window dressing; possible better-than-expected earnings; ???. Of these potential causes, my guess would be a combination of oversold condition and short-covering during the first two hours, flavored by the specialist. It is understandable it fell 81 cents from the high of $49.30, given the 300 point drop in the DOW. I still look for $47.50 to hold..., but that is my "fundamentalist" view, while "technically", it looks as though it will shortly take out the $46.40 area recent low. Personally, I prefer $52.00 than $46.00, but that "preference" and a couple dollars will get me a basic coffee at StarBucks.
      -Net Moderately LONG ($48.49)
      RECOMMENDATION: Lightly HOLD
      ******************************************************************************
      Today's (10/01/02) trading was bouyed by the up move of 346 points in the DOW, which was probably a relief rally due to possible agreement with Iraq regarding the inspections. Perhaps the 170:1 is alive and kicking as 346/170 = 2.04 (KO up 2.08). It would be very constructive if the $48.60-$49.20 range holds as support over the next 4 or 5 trading days. At this point, the $47.50 looks more and more like a real bottom
      -TRADING RANGE: $48.50-$50.50
      -RECOMMENDATION: 70% SELL; 30% HOLD
      CLOSE: $50.06

    • not sure what you're lookin at...but one more day ends the month...i "think" it's goin down.... (would have to take out 57/58 to change the picture...look at mo vol)

      http://www.bigcharts.com/custom/datek-com/datek-rt2.asp?osymb=ko&symb=ko&time=5y
      r&freq=1mo&compidx=aaaaa%7E0&comp=&type=4&ma=3&maval=40%2C160&uf=16&lf=268435456
      &lf2=256&lf3=4&sid=1272&x=0&y=0

    • Today�s activity (09/06/02) was unattractive, at best. During the first 30 minutes, there were two 25-cent �air pockets�, as both times trading around $49.92 and dropped within seconds to the $49.65 area.
      KO�s short-term range appears to be tightening to $49.00-$50.50. I suggest a 70% probability that KO will break $49.00 next week vs. a 30% probability of trading above $50.50. Fundamentally, I still look for KO to hold at $47.50.
      -(Net neutral) CLOSE: $49.89
      ********************************************************************************

      Today's (09/27/02) activity was enigmatic. The question is "why?". Possibilities: bounce from oversold condition; short covering; assistance from specialist; window dressing; possible better-than-expected earnings; ???. Of these potential causes, my guess would be a combination of oversold condition and short-covering during the first two hours, flavored by the specialist. It is understandable it fell 81 cents from the high of $49.30, given the 300 point drop in the DOW. I still look for $47.50 to hold..., but that is my "fundamentalist" view, while "technically", it looks as though it will shortly take out the $46.40 area recent low. Personally, I prefer $52.00 than $46.00, but that "preference" and a couple dollars will get me a basic coffee at StarBucks.

      best,

      Michael Z.
      -Net Moderately LONG
      RECOMMENDATION: Lightly HOLD

    • Today�s activity (09/06/02) was unattractive, at best. During the first 30 minutes, there were two 25-cent �air pockets�, as both times trading around $49.92 and dropped within seconds to the $49.65 area.
      KO�s short-term range appears to be tightening to $49.00-$50.50. I suggest a 70% probability that KO will break $49.00 next week vs. a 30% probability of trading above $50.50. Fundamentally, I still look for KO to hold at $47.50.
      -(Net neutral) CLOSE: $49.89
      *********************************************************************
      Yesterday's activity saw the gap created last Thursday morning, after the downgrade, and which was partially filled last Friday, completely filled. Today, KO traded above the bottom of that gap about 25% of the day and, after hitting a high of $48.68, was trading around $48.18 at the close, but settled at $48.43. I look for a gap down tomorrow morning in the magnitude of about 20-30 cents. If the general market (the DOW/S&P) provides reasonable pricing, KO should fill the gap to today's close, but should find it difficult hitting today's high. Any up close will be great (depending upon the DOW/S&P), and I will be satisfied to see a close above $47.00, which it should do..., but will not be surprised to see a drop below $47.00 if the "market" is not friendly.

      Have I covered all the bases??

      best,


      Michael Z.
      -Net Moderately LONG
      RECOMMENDATION: HOLD
      CLOSE: $48.43

    • Today�s activity (09/06/02) was unattractive, at best. During the first 30 minutes, there were two 25-cent �air pockets�, as both times trading around $49.92 and dropped within seconds to the $49.65 area.
      KO�s short-term range appears to be tightening to $49.00-$50.50. I suggest a 70% probability that KO will break $49.00 next week vs. a 30% probability of trading above $50.50. Fundamentally, I still look for KO to hold at $47.50.
      -(Net neutral) CLOSE: $49.89
      *****************************************************************************
      It appears as though the specialist used today's (09/12/02) general market strength AND PEP's early strong bounce to fill the gap created by the gap down last Thursday morning from Wednesday's close ($50.50). The momentum carried past the $50.50 to hit $51.07, only to drop back 72 cents to close at $50.35.
      -Net Neutral
      ******************************************************************************8
      Well..., since Friday, the 6th, KO has traded above $50.50 about 30% of the time..., and, finally, ran out of gas, but since the 170:1 appears live and well, KO's fortunes should be tied into the fate of the DOW/S&P, both showed lethargy today which doesn't provide great hope for the near-term. New near-term trading range: $48.50-$50.50.
      CLOSE: $48.95 (09/17/02)
      **********************************************************************************
      Today's activity was attributable to many factors including option expiration, oversold condition, a large block of about 3.5 million shares at $47.80. Technically, KO looks very weak, as though it is ready to test the bottom of its Long-Term trading range (43-57). Fundamentally, it is becoming closer to a fair value.
      RECOMMENDATION: HOLD to lightly purchase

      best,


      Michael Z.
      CLOSE: $47.52
      -Net Substantially LONG

    • I had no idea what your positions were. I was just wishing you the best. No intention of mocking you..........

    • <<I hope you had a decent day in the market.>>

      Now you are mocking me. It was one of the worst in while. Not nearly enough bearish positions.

    • <<How can I vote for you if I don't know who you are and what your qualifications are?

      I never heard of a politician who did not want to publicize his NAME.>>

      KINDER / GENTLER RESPONSE: Sir, why do you try and mock me? First, you would NEVER vote for me becaue (1) you are not from my district and (2) from your posts you appear to be liberal.

      Second, in regards to NOT publicizing my name, I consider that irrelevant right now. Despite what you think, I am NOT a career politician, just an American that will take back the nation from the corrupt and evil that rests in its bowels!!!

      I hope you had a decent day in the market.

    • How can I vote for you if I don't know who you are and what your qualifications are?

      I never heard of a politician who did not want to publicize his NAME.

    • I find it disappointing to look at this message board and not much of it talks about KO
      which is what I was hoping to read about. Oh well..........

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KO
42.05+0.26(+0.62%)Sep 19 4:03 PMEDT

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