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Turkcell Iletisim (TKC) Message Board

  • peluso_mr peluso_mr Apr 13, 2008 10:19 AM Flag


    START buying again



    Posted 4/11/2008

    Patience can sometimes be the smartest strategy.

    The Turkey-based wireless provider Turkcell (TKC) pays a substantial dividend, but it fits the wait-and-see category.

    Turkcell shows strong growth — the three-year EPS growth rate is 38%. Plus, its dividend yield is 4%.

    Those two things don't usually come in the same package.

    It might leave some investors wondering: Is it an income stock or a growth stock?

    It might serve as either, but there still is reason for caution.

    On the growth side, quarterly earnings increased 48%, 210%, 31% and 39% in recent quarters. Sales growth accelerated 14%, 29%, 44% and 50% in the same period.

    On the income side, the EPS Stability Rating is 9, a good score on a gauge that runs from 1 to 99, with 1 being the most stable.

    The level of debt also is low.

    Why wait then?

    The stock appears to be forming a double-bottom base with a potential buy point of 27.39.

    But there has been substantial selling of late. The Accumulation/Distribution Rating is D-, pointing to institutional selling.

    Any purchase should wait until this trend reverses — even if it should mean buying at a much higher price and a lower dividend yield.

    A second telecom with a generous dividend is Partner Communications, (PTNR) an Israeli telecom.

    The dividend yield is 4.3%. The three-year growth rate is 41%.

    The Stability Rating is 20.

    Institutional money has piled into this stock in the past 12 months. As of March, 20 mutual funds had 2.3 million shares vs. 10 with 1.7 million a year earlier.

    But recently funds have lightened a bit. A quarter ago, 20 funds held 2.6 million shares.

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    • Too risky at this point unless you like to gamble with your money. It has an accumulation/distribution rating of D- meaning strong institutional selling pressure. IBD methodology recommends watching but not buying until a clear confirmation has occurred through a well formed chart pattern and/or accumulation by institutions. Rewards to those who wait. Don't chase the market. Let it come to you.

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