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Educational Development Corporation Message Board

  • mnplumb mnplumb Sep 22, 2003 7:30 AM Flag

    Can anyone explain why 4th qtr. revenue

    and earnings are always lower than the 1,2 and 3 qtr. Looks like the 4th qtr. is the best time to buy this company. I may be selling,like a lot of people, in the 3rd qtr. I still like this company but sooner or later selling does come into play. SEE YA

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    • The business is somewhat cyclical and January is the smallest revenue month of the year, because stores are recovering from the Christmas rush and reviewing inventory levels, and the UBAH ladies are recovering from a huge fall selling season. December is a good month, however, it is really only a half month because shipments must be made in time for Christmas delivery. February then starts the new season.
      One shouldn't look at the fourth quarter as being weak, just smaller due to the predictable factors I mentioned.
      As far as selling, that would be ill advised. Peter Lynch states in his investment philosophy that you should stick with a company until the story changes and the EDUC story has not changed. Strong growth on an annual basis and month to month. Again, don't compare the fourth quarter to the other three, rather compare it to the fourth quarter in previous years.
      This horse still has strong legs and the race has just begun!!

    • Why lower Q4 earnings? Seasonal revenues, like many retailers. Q4 corresponds to Dec, Jan & Feb when many people are catching their breath from the holidays.


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