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Silicon Valley Bancshares (SIVB) Message Board

  • johnfuego johnfuego May 15, 2001 2:55 PM Flag

    Fed Cut--No SIVB pop? (EOM)


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    • Typo- where you see a 3's it should read #'s.

    • As of 5.15.01 there were 4.8M shares shorted.
      Previous months 3's are;
      4.12.01 = 4.5M shares
      3.15.01 = 3.9M shares
      2.15.01 = 2.9M shares
      Historical data from 2000 shows a short position between 1.5M to 2.0M shares shorted.
      Prior to 2000 Shorts were under 1M shares.
      We are at an all time high in either 3 of shares or % of issued shares shorted.
      IF(note capital letters) we are closing in on economic stabilization and the market starts an upward move,then the IPO market opens up,VC's increase their portfolio investments, portfolio firms deposit their excess cash in SVB......?!?!
      Anybody care to speculate what these 4.8M share shorted will do? Perhaps the Mother of all Short Covering befor years end!?!?
      As always, my opinion only...and it is usually not worth much.
      Good Holidays to all.

    • I've been buying BUD since '95 and sold some long-term shares once. Since then, I've more than rebuilt my BUD position. I suppose in the right circumstances one could trade BUD with short-term gains; perhaps you mean you traded BUD 4 times in 4 years.

      SIVB I've been in since early this year. I wrote the May 70 options which just expired worthless. I look for SIVB to hang in the mid to high 20s, since it just slipped into the 29 level. If we get a lot of NASDAQ choppiness or the IPO window slams shut, SIVB could revisit the low 20s but I'd back up the truck if it did.

    • This stock has not reacted well on the day of the last few rate cuts favourably. Most of the cut is already priced in . Look for a pull back from these levels.

114.52-1.24(-1.07%)Sep 15 4:15 PMEDT

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