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Astrotech Corp. Message Board

  • eurothinking eurothinking Feb 13, 2013 7:32 AM Flag


    I made some calculation. If my calculation is correct the next quarter results is:

    7M$ revenue ( I viewed the 2011 4th quarter backlog and I count "back".)

    5,6M$ cost (I calculated 20% profit margin)

    1,4 Gross profit

    Research: 0.6M$

    Selling General and Administrative 1,6M$

    Minority Interest: +0,1


    It's a 0.7M$ Loss.

    This is the worst version.

    This does not include the revenue after MMS-1000.

    How many Spectrometer has sold in the last quarter?

    Sentiment: Buy

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    • I'm very happy because the administrative cost slowed down. (If the company can continue to reduce administrative costs to under $ 1 million... the losses will disappear.) But the research development cost was(I think) higher than the official... This is a small bookeeping cheat. (Next quarter we will get a 0.7M$ research cost.) The profit margin went higher rates (25%)... This is a good signal for the future.

      I will make some calculations for the next quarter which will be coming about may 1.

      Pickens is buying at .85 (this is much better than the 500MA or anything, but he doesn't give higher price for the share) the sellers fell a sleep, and the share will be move 0.85-0.95. (Nobody buy and nobody sell.)
      Where can I get an ASTC certificate? :)

    • 2013 fourth quarter estimate:

      Revenue: !13,2M$! (I calculated a higher (25%) profit margin because I think it is can't go lower and lower.)
      Cost: 9.9M$

      Gross profit: 3.3M$

      Selling general and administrative: 1.4M$! (This is an tendency.)
      Research: 0.5M$

      1.9M$ PROFIT.

      It will be refresh after the official results.

      Sentiment: Buy

    • Now the Astrotech General Manager and Sales People need to book a couple more 5 year new Satellite Contracts and the net profits will increase as will stock share price. I think they can make that happen.

      Sentiment: Buy

    • 2013 third quarter estimate:

      Revenue: 4.7M$

      Cost: 3.8M$

      Gross profit: 0.9M$

      Research: 0.6M$

      Selling General and Administrative: 1.7M$

      MMS-1000 profit: 0.2-0.4M$ (50k/piece, 6-10/quarter)

      Minority Interest: 0.1M$


      1M$ loss.

      I think ASTC has just one chance: T. Boone Pickens III

      Sentiment: Buy

      • 1 Reply to eurothinking
      • Q3 (ending March 31st) will be significantly higher than your $4.7m estimate. They're working on 3 launches in the current quarter. Revenue will likely be $7m+ and highly profitable since satellite processing margins are higher than the GSE margins.

        I'm telling you people 1st Detect is going to surprise a lot of people. They're already hiring more people and I've heard good things from people who've seen them at trade shows.

        Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • 'It's a 0.7M$ Loss. This is the worst version.'

      Which is about the level of processing facility depreciation which would mean break even in cash terms.

      I make it about $8m revenue which depending on the GMs could give a GAAP profit if not an EBITDA one.

3.16-0.03(-0.94%)Mar 3 3:59 PMEST

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