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Brooks Automation, Inc. Message Board

  • burnintoo burnintoo Jun 12, 2008 7:03 PM Flag

    Had to Buy More Today

    This selloff seems way overdone. Yes, the earnings suck right now. But don't forget they are getting an extra about $0.25/year of cash flow from amortization of intangibles built up from acquisitions, have $2.40/share of cash and no debt, and have valuation allowances that will allow them to avoid paying their next ~$150M of taxes. Not bad protection for a stock with a $600M market cap!

    So why now (besides the price)? We are about at the bottom of the down cycle in the semis space. Players like AMAT say this quarter is the bottom in orders, and prices on DRAM and NAND are now actually rising. In a few years, BRKS will be earning >$0.30/quarter, and I'll have doubled my money.

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    • Oh yeah, another reason 'why now'. If you look at a chart, whether it be 3 months or 5 years, you'll see the support at ~$9.30 is pretty strong given the successful test of this area a few days ago.

      • 1 Reply to burnintoo
      • AP
        Lam Research shares rally after Goldman upgrade
        Tuesday June 24, 11:20 am ET
        Lam Research shares rise after Goldman upgrades stock on drop in capital spending, valuation

        NEW YORK (AP) -- Shares of Lam Research Corp. jumped Tuesday after an analyst upgraded the semiconductor manufacturing equipment maker, citing in part a drop in capital spending and valuation.

        The stock gained $1.92, or 5.3 percent, to $37.95 in the morning session.

        Goldman Sachs analyst James Covello boosted his rating of the Fremont, Calif., company to "Buy" from "Sell" and placed it on the investment bank's Conviction Buy list.

        The upgrade comes the day after the stock touched a 52-week low of $35.98.

        "While we have been negative on Lam for the last 24-36 months given the company's high exposure to memory capital expenditures, we are now comfortable in taking an aggressive view on the stock," Covello said in a note to clients.

        He cited a likely drop in cuts to DRAM capital expenditures, valuation -- shares are down 17 percent so far this year -- and a potential jump in orders from Asia-based companies.

10.66+0.14(+1.33%)2:05 PMEDT