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Allegheny Technologies Inc. Message Board

  • pissandvinegar20years pissandvinegar20years Jan 23, 2007 11:58 AM Flag

    some raw-cost worries with ATI

    Could cause a big sell off short term. Sell here and waiting for earnings.

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    • Perhaps you're referring to the monopoly in nickel by RIO that Cramer mentioned yesterday. He briefly said he would listen closely to the cc by ATI on Wednesday for mention of this. Hopefully increases in nickel prices can be passed on to the end customer.

    • calm_under_pressure50 calm_under_pressure50 Jan 23, 2007 12:24 PM Flag

      You couldn't be more wrong.
      What are you using reverse logic?
      In the short-term, good earnings will skyrocket this stock.
      I doubled my holdings of ATI this morning.
      Long-term = who knows, short-term = buy ATI.

      • 1 Reply to calm_under_pressure50
      • That is not what happened last quarter. Go look at the chart. ATI reported blow out earnings and the stock started to slide. It didn't start back up again until 3 weeks later.

        ATI has a history of running up before earnings and then pulling back after earnings are announced.

        It's my understanding that the supply titanium is not as tight as it was before. It will be interesting if this is mentioned in the CC. If there is the slightest perception that the conditions exist for the price of titanium to weaken then there could be a sell off. Any discussion along these lines will over shadow any good news concerning the earnings numbers. That is what I will be listening for.

        Earnings is all about the past, where guidance on future titanium prices and production capacity is what everyone wants to know because that is what will determine the price of ATI's stock tomorrow.

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