With valuation and outlook such as it is with the occasional stock like CF is now...so hard to figure what owners have waited around until this time to sell.....? ETF selling? Who would sell a stock in such position and cheap like CF? Appears quite clear that at some time, maybe soon, a big move up comes. Can't really find much negative case any more.
I'm expecting rotation into the ag stocks. Investors hit the other sectors & made a lot of money, now those investments are at max value so they're going to look for areas that have not yet participated in this year's gains.
The long-term regression line indicates CF should be at $234 right now. This is an average trajectory that the stock has followed quite well over the years. Reversion to the mean should take the stock back to that level. Furthermore, there has been a lot of volume below the regression line that will be reflected in a rebound in volume well over this line when CF does move up.