Just look at the MACD and you know it's heading down... even if for a day or two, price goes up. That downward slope is still quite steep.
200 DMA is no good to make ST & IT projections, anyway. What matters now are the interactions of 5, 10, and 20 MA interactions and if the 5 is getting ready to cross the 10, if at all. The change will start there first. Who cares for the 200 DMA at this time!