The St. Joe Company Message Board
-
Morningstar keeps Fair Value @40
Some Notes
---------------------------------
Importantly, the quarter exhibited no major downside surprises. Real estate-related impairments of roughly $8 million align with the magnitude of charges taken by many of the firm's peers of late. And given the recently announced Securities and Exchange Commission inquiry into the firm's accounting practices, we believe St. Joe and its auditors deeply scrutinized the carrying amounts of real estate on the books. This resulting rather benign adjustment should provide shareholders with incremental comfort that no major misstatements exist in the firm's financial statements. This modest charge may also provide a catalyst for further short covering among those that have launched barbs related to the firm's recordkeeping and lack of impairments.
With this report disseminated, we now await many Fairholme-initiated changes to the firm's strategy and operations in the coming months and quarters. While we expect many positive developments from the firm's new board leadership, we will closely monitor proposed adjustments for any potential creep away from St. Joe's core operations involving development of its large master planned communities and commercial acreage surrounding the new airport.-
"Peers" may be lowballing their impairment write-downs. Those seem to be MS's only means of justifying JOE'S in-house divining. What "peers" have all their holdings in unpopulated areas of NW Florida, which was at the absolute extremes of the bubble?
-
VectorVest gives JOE a fair value of $8.16.
-
Check the report - the price target was cut to $34. Not that it matters - its all upside from sub-20. This stock will fly higher and lower with so much hedge fund interest, so you play the swings. Its getting really smoked down here, so I suspect a stop is coming.
- 1 Reply to gordonfan4life2
-
>>Check the report - the price target was cut to $34.<<
Yesterday, I think the only change was from 4 stars to 5 stars.
I think what you are referring to was done on 5/5/11. M* fair value estimate is $34.00. Consider buy at $20.40 and consdider sell at $57.80.
-
MS has a good handle on the situation.
- 1 Reply to flirt_mob
-
Morningstar raised joe today (6/6/11) to 5 stars from 4 stars. I don't think they issued any text on JOE.
-