What it mean - 70% chance that company go ahead and launch product alone. They should have launch it by now but they try maximize shareholder value by trying to get deal.
For example, within 2 month of launch, if it got weekly script in 6K+ range, that is very good and we will be in high 10's may be in 20's. about 3K is decent and justify current price point may be bit higher around 12-13. anything lower than 2000 would consider failure and we will go lower to 5.
I hold many share at 11 average, hold short $8 put for Jan. I will keep adding more stock around 7-8 price. AMRN is my biggest holding if count put short get excercise and I think I will make significant money here.