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Aéropostale, Inc Message Board

  • jonathan.loewer jonathan.loewer Jan 10, 2013 9:48 PM Flag

    Comparison of 4th Quarters since '07

    Here are the earnings per share for each 4th quarter of every year since 2007. Do you notice a pattern in the direction of earnings over the last four-plus years?...
    Q4 '07 = $.63
    Q4 '08 = $.67
    Q4 '09 = $.99
    Q4 '10 = $.95
    Q4 '11 = $.32
    Q4 '12 = $.42 (expected)
    Q4 '12 = $.22 (new expectations revised lower this morning by Management)

    Yeah, over the last four years, the earnings per share for the Holiday Shopping quarter for ARO has fallen from 99 cents, to 95 cents, to 32 cents, and now to about 22 cents per share this year. Every Christmas Season has been worse for Aeropostale for the last 4 years.

    Sentiment: Sell

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    • First management lowered 4th qtr expectations from 42 cents profit to 18-24 cents, now management is predicting a loss for the 1st quarter. If this keeps up, the P/E ratio is going to be in the hundreds.... Hahaha!

      Sentiment: Strong Sell

    • "All of the aforementioned does not even yet bring the IPad into the conversation. The earnings multiple will still be under 10 when this stock gets back over $17.50. Not until after that do we even start thinking about what additional revenues should come from the tablet sales. Even if the tablet isn't a huge boon revenues or profits, this stock is still very cheap in the $17s. However, if the IPad is a big seller, than the high teens-low-twenties is a conservative estimate."

      The above is your quote on RSH not even 2 years ago - where is RSH today?

      Based on your expertise regarding retail, I think you have somewhat of a credibility issue.

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