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American Science & Engineering Inc. Message Board

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  • coldinny coldinny May 9, 2011 4:21 PM Flag

    Horrible

    worst bookings since this qtr two years ago.. All of their moving averages are now turning lower

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    • Your concerns about bookings seemed to be echoed by the analysts in the Q&A.

      I thought one of the better questions came at the end when Brian Ruttenbur asked if sales would come in the first or second part of the year. Anthony or Ken answered "second".

      Based on that answer alone I would not be surprised to see other analysts join Josephine in downgrading the stock to hold from buy.

      Selling covered calls may be a decent strategy over the next couple of months.

      Just beware that Anthony said the massive Mil Trailer order could come from DOD at any moment. In addition, ASEI could get taken out buy L3 or any number of other defense companies.

      I also like what Anthony said about use of cash. He is NOT going to over pay for a competitor and lever the bal sheet. He would rather keep the cash in anticipation of QE2 expiring and interest rates rising.

      Bin Laden is dead. Does that mean scanning is no longer a threat or spending priority world wide? Too soon to tell IMO.

      • 1 Reply to elitecrete1
      • Thanks Elite.

        Just a point of caution on covered calls ...

        If you like the company ... a covered call is risky if an unexpected positive occurs.

        Sure you get to sell at the strike price ... but sitting on the sidelines is not fun if there is a huge gain from a very large order, or takeover, etc.

        I sold a covered call on a brokerage stock years ago ... and it cost me a 10 bagger... as earnings surged far beyond my expectations. Never again!!

        GT

    • I'll bet they attribute it to government budget disruptions and DoD and TSA operating on short term continuing resolutions.

    • What ever happened to giving them the benefit of the doubt for "lumpy" Q to Q results?

      Are you saying that ..."The Company reported ... a record $298,075,000 in bookings for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2011" is not a positive?

 
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