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Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS) Message Board

  • hudsonvalley196 hudsonvalley196 Jan 13, 2013 7:46 PM Flag


    The stock price is obviously way overextended at this point and although I am bullish on the long term prospects I do have some concerns about gross margins. The gross margins for 4Q and the coming quarters may not be as high as I thought because of the aggressive warehouse expansion (3.0 million sq.ft. is going to increase costs significantly) and installing Motorola logistics solutions in all of their warehouses. The costs are increasing significantly and I do have some concerns about the companies ability to meet the .08 earnings estimates, when the earnings are released soon.

    I have noticed the competition is heating up in the China flash sales market earlier than I had that.

    Although I am bullish longer term, like Stock said the are some factors to keep in mind that may hurt VIPS.

    The stock is up 400% in a very short period of time.

    Short term I am going to a sell until we see how things play out.

    All the Best

    Sentiment: Sell

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    • tdcburns Jan 28, 2013 11:46 PM Flag


      You go from posting this on Friday, Jan 11th at $20, "I still maintain 60. by the end of 2013, however I'm leaning to bumping it to 65 to 70. All the Best. It will be a fun ride. BUCKLE UP FOLKS.

      To posting this 3 days later on Monday Jan 14th at $20, "TURNING CAUTIOUS" and Short term I am going to a sell until we see how things play out".

      To posting this another Jan 27th at $20, "ANOTHER GIFT ON FRIDAY" "O.K. folks, for the people who sold and BTW I added some at 20.06 near the close, here's the deal", "I raised my price target to 33 to 34 by the end of March, 2013"

      So what is it going to be in 3 more days?

      You sure change your mind fast at $20. Little wishy washy to me but then again you called me names and sleezy.


    • What a turnaround .. Care to elaborate what new competition, risk factors you saw over the weekend?
      I respect your choice to be cautious .. Good luck

    • That's why message boards are for entertainment. Hudson is the biggest bull one day, now he says sell.

    • tdcburns Jan 14, 2013 10:02 AM Flag

      but 3 days ago you posted this:

      Now that the 20. stock price plateau has been obtained, I'm looking at the next price objective of 30. by the end of March, 2013. Maybe 35, there are many catalysts coming in the next 2 months that will drive the stock price.

      I still maintain 60. by the end of 2013, however I'm leaning to bumping it to 65 to 70.

      All the Best. It will be a fun ride. BUCKLE UP FOLKS.


      What changed over the weekend?

    • What's new? What have changed in just 2 short non-trading weekend days? VIPS is in a business that almost has no market entry barrier since day one. China has hundred of this kind sites that can enter this field in a flash. Why VIPS is so unique that can command one billion market cap? It's nothing but pump! Insiders may come out anytime to dump their shares on to open market.

      I won't be surprised that this ID will disappear forever if stock endures a long sustained down period. This stock should have never be worth more than $8. But shorts beware, this maybe another ploy of enticing you to short and squeeze you hard later.

      A pathetic long who claims that stock will be 10 fold higher just 2 days ago, indeed!

      Sentiment: Strong Sell

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