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Vipshop Holdings Limited (VIPS) Message Board

  • basehits1 basehits1 Aug 13, 2013 1:49 PM Flag

    50% retrace is $37. Earnings report not going to stop either.


    This is way too far from the 50d ema. $43 to $50 was retail speculation. After earnings report is out, the next few days will see it dip below the 50d ema [its true value] then consolidate.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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    • Why are you so sure the ER will be bad? Is your opinion based purely on some garbage tweet by Citron?

      Well believe me. These guys know as much as a random person in the street. The metrics they used in their research is total BS. The conclusions are based on the data from the Alexa toolbar. Do you use this toolbar? Do your friends use this toolbar? It just proves the fact that their sample is not representative and says nothing about the real state of things. Even if there is an ER miss it will be pure luck on their side.

      Also show me at least some empirical data which says that being too far from 50 DMA causes stocks to break down. There is little correlation if any. It is as stupid as the idea that stocks with too high P/E should break down. Growth stocks do not break down because they are too far from 50 DMA or because their P/E is too high. They crash when the company stops over-delivering on the market's expectations. As long as the growth story continues these stocks keep rising.

    • Basehits, MMs should now have all the shares they need given today's shakeout. The stock is also trading well below its 10 day EMA. Normally, we should expect the stock to go up on Thursday if the earnings report is very good.

22.89+0.90(+4.09%)Jan 23 4:04 PMEST

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