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  • sfruehling1 sfruehling1 Aug 15, 2011 1:19 PM Flag

    Opinions please

    Wow! People are pessimistic! What happens if the economy keeps slowly growing (2.5%+/-) or accelerates faster than most economists are now projecting? If the economy continues with slow to moderate growth, I think there is a 50% chance or greater that the price/sh will reach $25 to $30/sh within next six months and a dividend increase is possible within the next 2 to 3 years. Management is not very shareholder oriented, but is financially conservative (low leverage) and is not stupid. CWH's book value of about $43/sh (per 2nd Qtr Fin., does not include recent share dilution) is reasonable (see my comments on this on 12-31-10, “Is CWH's Book Value too High?, Part 1 & 2 ”) and its $2.00/sh dividend should be sustainable unless economy tanks.

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    • So people think the most relevant question is "Where will the stock price be in 2-3 years????

      As for me-I am more interested in where the market and economy will be in the next 1 month, 3 months and 6 mos. Too many variables to forecast beyond that. But in the meantime I would like to own stocks that have favorable prospects for maintaining (at a minimum) and/or increasing dividends.

      Only fritz and tenn are smart enuf to know where things are going in the next 2-3 years. And you know their track record.

      If you are willing to suffer a 25-50% drop in the dividends and stock price because of the dubious assurances of fake FORTUNE tellers then you deserve to lose your money.

      Good luck. I am now 50% cash due to what I forsee as bad economic conditions and contamination from Europes problems.

      Good luck. Keep hoping.