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  • ford30cabriolet ford30cabriolet Sep 15, 2013 7:00 AM Flag

    New U.N. report lowers estimates on global warming.

    "Wall Street Journal" - See article - Dialing back the alarm on climate change.

    Sentiment: Buy

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    • "Experts predict period of global cooling" -- Sept. 15th, The Standard

      "London — A cold Arctic summer has led to a record increase in the ice cap, leading experts to predict a period of global cooling. There has been a 60% increase in the amount of ocean covered with ice compared to this time last year, the equivalent of almost a million square kilometres.

      In a rebound from 2012’s record low, an unbroken ice sheet more than half the size of Europe already stretches from the Canadian islands to Russia’s northern shores, days before the annual re-freeze is even set to begin. The Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific has remained blocked by pack-ice all year, forcing some ships to change their routes.

      A leaked report to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has led some scientists to claim that the world is heading for a period of cooling that will not end until the middle of this century. If correct, it would contradict computer forecasts of imminent catastrophic warming. The news comes several years after the BBC predicted that the arctic would be ice-free by 2013.

      Despite the original forecasts, major climate research centres now accept that there has been a “pause” in global warming since 1997. The original predictions led to billions being invested in green measures to combat the effects of climate change.

      The changing predictions have led to the UN’s climate change’s body holding a crisis meeting, and the IPCC is due to report on the situation next month. A pre-summit meeting will be held later this month. But the leaked documents are said to show that the governments who fund the IPCC are demanding 1 500 changes to the Fifth Assessment Report — a three-volume study issued every six or seven years — as they claim its current draft does not properly explain the pause.

    • "Since the last IPCC report in 2007, much has changed. It is now more than 15 years since global average temperature rose significantly. Indeed, the IPCC chairman Rajendra Pachauri has conceded that the “pause” already may have lasted for 17 years, depending on which data set you look at. A recent study in Nature Climate Change by Francis Zwiers and colleagues of the University of Victoria, British Columbia, found that models have overestimated warming by 100% over the past 20 years. Explaining this failure is now a cottage industry in climate science. The most plausible explanation of the pause is simply that climate sensitivity was overestimated in the models because of faulty assumptions about net amplification through water-vapor feedback. This will be a topic of heated debate at the political session to rewrite the report in Stockholm, starting on Sept. 23, at which issues other than the actual science of climate change will be at stake."

      –Matt Ridley, The Wall Street Journal, 14 September 2013

      "A new study in the journal Nature Climate Change that compared 117 climate predictions made in the 1990′s to the actual amount of warming finds that 99% of them overestimated the amount of warming. On average, the predictions forecasted two times more global warming than actually occurred."

      —Maxim Lott, Fox News, 12 September 2013

      My Comment: The backlash is building steam.

    • Here is what the Daily Mail reports:

      "A leaked copy of the world’s most authoritative climate study reveals scientific forecasts of imminent doom were drastically wrong.

      The Mail on Sunday has obtained the final draft of a report to be published later this month by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the ultimate watchdog whose massive, six-yearly ‘assessments’ are accepted by environmentalists, politicians and experts as the gospel of climate science.

      They are cited worldwide to justify swingeing fossil fuel taxes and subsidies for ‘renewable’ energy.

      Yet the leaked report makes the extraordinary concession that the world has been warming at only just over half the rate claimed by the IPCC in its last assessment, published in 2007.

      Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate of 0.2C every decade – a figure it claimed was in line with the forecasts made by computer climate models.

      But the new report says the true figure since 1951 has been only 0.12C per decade – a rate far below even the lowest computer prediction.

      The 31-page ‘summary for policymakers’ is based on a more technical 2,000-page analysis which will be issued at the same time. It also surprisingly reveals: IPCC scientists accept their forecast computers may have exaggerated the effect of increased carbon emissions on world temperatures – and not taken enough notice of natural variability."

      My Comment: This will be hard to sweep under the carpet.

      • 1 Reply to t_e_n_k_a_y
      • If the IPCC dials back global warming, they will do so reluctantly.

        The IPCC has a motive to further the hoax of global warming. The United Nations has stated that they hope global warming will be the start of 'global governance'. Just think, the United Nations in control of every country. Well, that is what the United Nations is shooting for and the United Nations is hoping to use the hoax of global warming to obtain that goal.

        The moral to this is story is - don't expect the IPCC redial of global warming to be anywhere near the truth. They will cling to global warming as long as they can even in the face of insurmountabe evidence that global warming is a complete and total hoax.

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