SunTrust Banks, Inc. Message Board

  • trevigor trevigor Oct 13, 1998 3:42 PM Flag

    I'm beginning to think that most of the.

    postings over the last four or five days have
    come from the pocket protector crowd. Some people seem
    to be looking for things that do not exist. The
    glorious "7 branch problem"? Who cares. Y2K? Of course,
    all major banks including STI will be ready. Will the
    acquisition of CF be approved? Of course, it will. If you
    want to see some really entertaining stuff, go to the
    postings on the CF board............Watch for fokie.

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    • Huck, give STI a chance. I'm not even a
      stockholder and believe them to be a good hold. This may seem
      irrelevant but in years past, I've run into STI people at
      various schools, conferences, etc., and they seemed
      genuinely happy to be with STI. I've run into just as many
      Crestar people, and those feelings weren't there.
      As
      for the NC territory, there's always BB&T to fill a
      handy niche in the geography. I suspect BB&T knows it's
      vulnerable and why they've been trying to swell up with
      additional purchases, and wooing First Virginia hard.

      I'm glad your second job is so rewarding especially
      watching the young Tech minds grow and achieve. Perhaps
      this scenario would bode well for a MCD stock
      purchase?
      Actually I thought Pizza Hut and Domino's
      deliveries had gobbled up the available hokies.
      What do
      all UVA grads and Va. Tech grads have in common? They
      were all accepted at Tech.

    • The Heels beat you fair and square... Even Ronald
      Curry knows a good opportunity [a Carolina Education]
      when he sees it... so should you, hold on to your STI,
      it's stock will rise as fast as Carolins B-ball next
      year!

    • I haven't had time to post lately. Since my CF
      converted to STI stock and subsequently went into the
      crapper, I've had to take a second job to make ends meet.


      For all those long time STI'ers, maybe this stock has
      served you well, but I'm not impressed over the 6 months
      or so I've been following it. The bank group is down
      3% or so year to date, but STI is down 12-14% or so.
      Mediocre earnings growth compared to its peer group, a
      very high efficiency ratio, and no discernible
      strategy on the retail banking side. The street is
      apparently not impressed.

      Have there been any
      statements regarding the obvious hole in the franchise, NC
      and SC? Obviously you aren't going to go out and name
      potential targets, but how 'bout a strategy? Seems they
      just bought Crestar and left it alone. How does that
      make sense? How do you pay for the (now evaporated)
      acquisition premium without some cost cutting? Maybe there
      has been some consolidation on the corporate side,
      but what's with the retail businesses, including
      credit card, consumer finance, mortgage, etc.? I've been
      thru several bank mergers, so I now it takes time, but
      we're 6 months in and they haven't even made some of
      the basic transition decisions. In at least one of
      the above, they've actually punted and hired a
      consultant to figure it out. Look for that to take another 6
      months to a year, and cost a fortune.

      I no
      longer have any access to the inside scoop, so maybe
      some of you STI'ers can explain this all to me.
      Hopefully, I'm wrong. I'll continue to hold this stock, but
      I'm holding it for the takeover
      premium.

      Gunnar, there is one good thing about having to take that
      second job down at McDonald's. As lead fry cook, I get
      to boss a host of recent Va. Tech graduates
      around.

      P.S.- I hate Ademola Okalaja as much as I hate Ronald
      Curry.

    • I was wondering when you'd surface again. I see
      you have fans all over the boards. Personally I miss
      football season, except for one particular roundball game
      against Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State
      University--try fitting that on your college ring.

    • I'll bet you hate DUKE, too.......Also, can't you
      find anything better to do than foke huckies
      ?........Weren't you the guy who posted a lot with someone from
      Russia on the old Crestar board ? .........
      Ching-a-ling, man.

    • as for my stock price comparison to WB that you called unfair -- that was your comparison I was refuting!!!!! Please refer to your post, OJ.

      Helllloooo in there, anybody home?

    • I don't think many of us have the time or energy
      to refute, point by point, all of OJ's ridiculous
      comments. One thing I will say, though, is that to say STI
      is playing follow the leader is the single most
      inane comment I've seen on this board. If this is true,
      OJ, who is the leader that STI is following? Every
      big bank now has an investment-banking arm. It is a
      necessity in today's environment. I guess most commercial
      bankers just don't appreciate the differences in
      culture--but, clearly, the current landscape is so competitive,
      all banks must offer all products (on some scale).
      Although "tying" is illegal, you had better believe that
      every bank in the country uses considerable leverage to
      keep as much business as possible business in house.


      Also, to say that the deals these banks have entered
      into are dilutive initially, but really "anything but"
      is not only uninformed, but flat out stupid. Let's
      look at NB/BBI. This deal was, in fact, significantly
      dilutive in the first year --- but, it got even worse.
      Read the fairness opinions on the transaction. It
      called for revenue synergies -- not just cost savings --
      to make the deal work. NB/BAC stock has performed
      terribly, the bank lost big corporate customers, the
      integration was pushed back, and McColl acknowledged that
      there would not, in fact, be any revenue synergies well
      after that fact became evident. This is just one
      example.

      For a couple years now, Wall Street
      analysts have crucified many of these banks for
      significantly diluting the shareholders' earnings base with all
      these acquisitions. In saying that these deals are
      really anything but dilutive, you make me laugh.


      The truth is, at the end of the day nobody knows how
      dilutive or accretive any of these deals are, particularly
      given that new deals are often announced and
      consummated prior to the closing of the previous deal. This
      creates a big cloud under which some bank mgmts try to
      (and often can) hide (i.e. BAC). They then point to
      the same things as you -- the league tables -- to
      justify their actions.

      The only way mergers in
      this business (the super-regional/national banks)
      continue in the future is through mergers of equals at
      little/no premium.

      Wake up, everyone. This is the
      new world.

    • And now, on with the debate!

    • I just think OJ is missing the big picture with
      STI. He focuses too much on some details thast really
      don't amount to much in the total scheme of things. He
      may or may not be right, but so what when it comes to
      evaluating STI. It is, however, good to see him posting his
      thoughts and comments. Without them there wouldn't be much
      left to debate. Keep it up OJ. The 3 Bs love ya, but
      you can't get away with much on this board....too
      many smart ex-bankers and in-the-know people. They
      give me hell all the time too, but that's what it's
      all about. By the way Blue, you gotta admit Clinton
      was smart to appoint Rubin and keep Greenspan.... a
      Republican Congress helps too.

    • I stand corrected; however, the Clinton bit was
      just begging for critcism. That part set the whole
      tone for what the gentleman
      posted.

      O.J.:

      -"a management that avoids catastrophic mistakes"
      (your own words, what better kind could you want or am
      I missing something?)

      -To argue that STI is
      stragling behind the top 10 banks is quite powerful, to say
      the least. 6 months ago STI was barely known as
      evidenced by the average daily volume of its stock price,
      the volume is up substantially, my numbers come in
      around 32% since the CF announcement. Now you want to up
      and compare them with BAC, FTU, CMB to name a few?
      But I contend that STI will never be like those
      banks, never have, never will.

      -Semi-autonomous
      nature of state franchises (STI is decentralized. That's
      a fact. Their earnings history can defend that mode
      of business. As I have posted before, that mode is
      shifting slightly, albeit a marked shift with the CIB
      restructuring. I could throw several cliches at you about not
      messing with something that works pretty well, but I'll
      spare you.

      -So you don't like Equitable? Ok, I
      don't either, but it is a circular revenue generator.
      The CIB restructuring should manipulate some of STI
      resources and Trust connections to better utilize this
      business. That is being worked on presently from what I can
      gather.

      STI's Corporate Banking is not sluggish or whatever
      misnomer you attached to it. You said your expertise was
      with Commercial Banking, so what evidence do have
      about Corp. banking? Last I saw they were doing quite
      well from that arm of the bank.

      Operating
      efficiency is measured several ways, as you know, and we can
      get into that in more detail, but what about ROA and
      ROE as my fellow STIer Billymag pointed out?
      Historically, STI is very, very strong. Start there, and if you
      don't like what you see, dig a little deeper and SHOW
      us how STI is inefficient.

      -STI does have
      some technology issues to straighten out, that's for
      sure, but Y2K is fast approaching and the many millions
      STI has spent will start taking effect. They will be
      there soon enogh. The FTU branches in Fla. is a pretty
      good example of the bank keeping one ear to the ground
      so to speak.

      -Blue

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