Often times, that is a good contrarian indicator. However, they also have to throw in some bonafide nuggets that they feel will do what they predict...just to keep themselves "honest" and not lose everyone on the tricks they play. IMHO, this is one of those times. EXEL is a sell and Cramer has it correct. Nothing bullish whatsoever right now. Perhaps next year...but that's a long, long way off. Smart money will remain short. No risk.