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Central European Distribution Corp. Message Board

  • downtolastdollar downtolastdollar Feb 5, 2013 7:34 PM Flag

    There will be NO dilution

    imho, there will NOT be any dilution. CEDC is in a turnaround mode. Q4 results will show very good progress. Bonholders will agree to new terms that will save CEDC money going forward and further help the books.

    I have put all my savings/IRA in CEDC stock and am not worried about anything. I wish I had more money to buy more shares. Good luck to all longs.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • nobody should put everything he owns into just one stock but putting it into THIS stock is just insane.

      If there will be a deal on the convertibles it WILL for sure dilute common shareholders heavily as none of the negotiating parties has any interest to leave much on the table for outstanding common shareholders. CEDC just wants to survive somehow while the bondholders and Tariko want as much shares as they can get in exchange for their bonds. Even with a deal that pushes out the maturity of the bonds (highly unlikely though) the bondsholders will be paid a huge premium which will most likely consist of common stock.

      And don't forget the senior bondholders which will also have to get something to forego their change of control put rights.

      Common shareholders can't win here regardless whatever will happen. You will lose big time but probably with the stock trading close to 52-week lows you already lost the vast majority of your fortune here.

      • 1 Reply to hageneriksson
      • Keep your BS to yourself. If you are greedy, selfish, and a gangster, don't think everybody else is also. It is only a matter of less than 3 months that the truth will be out there for all to see and then you MUST apologize to all the longs here. I totally believe that there will be negligible dilution (less than 2%, just to show gratitude that all parties cooperated selflessly for a larger cause), if any.

        Like I said many times, imho, CEDC is getting better operationally with every passing day. I am sure of a positive outcome for all shareholders. Good luck to all longs.

        Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • No dilution, imho. Today was a great chance to get some cheap shares. Now we know why stock was going down for many days and why there was that spike on last day of the month.

      CEDC is in a turnaround mode and operations are being streamlined. We will find out soon. Q4 results will show very good progress. Bonholders will agree to new terms that will save CEDC money going forward and further help.

      No guts, no glory. No risk, no reward. No pain, no gain.

      Good luck to all longs.

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • will_taft@ymail.com will_taft Feb 6, 2013 8:07 AM Flag

      "I have put all my savings/IRA in CEDC stock and am not worried about anything. I wish I had more money to buy more shares. Good luck to all longs."

      I do not think this was a good idea. In the matter of fact I think that this was a pretty bad and dangerous idea. Unless you are looking forward to a career as a short order cook in the last years of your life.

    • unrealistic scenario...senior secured bonds are ranking higher that senior unsecured bonds and they are ranking higher than share capital. I never have seen any restructuring where bonds have suffered without share capital either wiped out or at least massively diluted....in a few weeks we will know more