The Clap Looks Good By Comparison
Wed Apr 3rd, 2013 at 10:47:42 AM EST
The Republican Party is really unpopular. But I wonder what it going to happen to their brand over the course of this year. Considering that the AFL-CIO and the Chamber of Commerce have agreed on an immigration reform deal, what will happen if Marco Rubio simply walks away from a deal? Or, what if the Senate passes a bill and the House can't follow suit? Or, what if Boehner feels compelled to pass a bill that the majority of his caucus opposes?
What if the Senate agrees on a universal background check on guns and the House won't go along with it? Or, what if the Senate Republicans won't give the president the vote he insisted on in the State of the Union? What if the House Republicans refuse to allow a vote? What if Boehner feels compelled to pass a bill that the majority of his caucus opposes?
We can ask these same questions about fixing the sequester. If the Republicans continue to refuse to offer any revenues through tax reform and insist on cutting Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security (a position opposed by 77% of the people and supported by only 17%) how much blame will they get for that?
These are not even the most dangerous issues for the Republicans. Fooling around with the debt ceiling again or causing a government shutdown are both still real possibilities this year.
We keep seeing analysis written through the prism of the red/blue divide, where Republicans have more to fear from primary challengers than from Democrats. But their positions on guns and immigration and the budget are not polling well at all. Obviously, their position on gay rights is also polling poorly. In fact, their positions are weak enough with independents and moderates that Republican lawmakers should not assume that they will get the same percentage of those votes in 2014 that they got in 2012.
They are in trouble on individual issues, taking positions in some cases that are supported by less t