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Ellie Mae, Inc. Message Board

  • peter_norths_proctologist peter_norths_proctologist Feb 14, 2013 11:19 PM Flag

    Last quarter (Q3) they beat EPS estimates by 67% and stock tanked

    The Q3 EPS avg. estimate was .21, and actual EPS came in at .35, for 67% upside surprise. Stock went up huge in AH trading, and then the following morning the stock tanked hard at the open on heavy volume.

    Now the Q4 EPS estimate was .21, and the actual EPS came in at .27, for just 29% beat this time. AH is up big, just like Q3. We'll see how the market reacts tomorrow and over the next several days. This quarter was nowhere near as good as the previous quarter, but maybe the selloff was overdone going into the call. Good luck.

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    • peter_norths_proctologist peter_norths_proctologist Feb 21, 2013 3:38 PM Flag

      Nobody should be surprised when history repeats.

    • I like when you wrote, " for just 29% beat this time." Like that is marginized now. If you are trying to make sense from people who make the rules, don't. The stock was beaten down so much for no good reason for the last month, but now with an excellent reported quarter, now we got a "gift," after they shook alot of people out way before earnings and sucked whatever short position they had out of ELLI. Now it is UP 10%, I wonder who bought at this low price to bring the stock up? The regular investor has no say in what has gone on in the past and today. ELLI is a great company, that's what the regular investor can bank on only, everything else is on the wim of the big players. Will ELLI got back to upper 20's soon, I would think so, but I don't control the game, so who know. The people who had enough money to know this, have patience and bought all the way down, should be commended. The saving grace on ELLI is that it is a great company, like I said above.

    • It is all about expectations. Last quarter the stock was sky high with high expectations. This quarter the stock has been beaten way way down with very low expectations.

 
ELLI
89.09+2.92(+3.39%)Jun 29 4:02 PMEDT