I've just been trading coal since early summer 2012... while we can't live and die by this I can say that when the markets are down coal seems to generally go up (in fact that's when we have our best runs). Many believe that the market will dive for the first 2 weeks of March as historically they have. Who knows with the recent rally but I do believe that $4.90 is WAY TOO CHEAP for ACI and expect a reversal... how high? That's Anyone's guess but we've lost over 40% just since earnings and have a billion in cash on hand so I don't see any possibility of BK. Admittedly I sold after earnings at a loss of roughly 10% which hurt but it would have been a whole lot worse if I held. I'm back and hoping to regain that 10% plus more. Would love to see 25% from here within a week or two.