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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

  • coalfox1 coalfox1 Apr 17, 2013 3:56 PM Flag

    Got a funny feeling about tomorrow......

    Shorts gonna get smashed on the rocks.... You heard it here first.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • what did I tell ya...

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • I donno fox. Its looking rough for coals lately. There is a big spread on options expiring friday built around 6$ strike.... but no telling what's going to happen for sure as the folks with the most money at hand to shove the price in their favor most likely set the spread (as usual). BTU earnings and natty inventories will be inplay, but the latter seemed to have no effect on prices lately with the continued draw downs on natty stocks. Based on BTU history, you would need a miss or an absolutely huge upside surprise to get the stock price to rise. the latter seems improbable with the coal markets being as bad as they were last q. Tomorrow is another day..... It will be interesting to see if ACI market cap continues further on its recent 20% decrease....despite improving thermal fundamentals. BTW, an increase in steel production (around 3%) is forecast in short term.... despite what citi analysts say. But when you got money and media at hand to do with stock price as you please.... I bet they are having a ball listening to the longs scream like women on the titanic.

    • Would not be the first time stock price was manipulated so the big boys could buy cheap shares and earn a quick 10-20%. How many times was ACI driven down to 4.90, all to run back up to 5.80? Comfortable buy in price all of end of February up until now was an already cheap 5.30-5.50. To early to tell if 4.50 is a blip or trend. What I DO know is I'm going to temporarily come unglued if there is another sell off due to an earnings miss when this stock has already been punished big time all week. Really hope miss is factored in at 4.50. We're already down 22% from last weeks rally. 22% is freaking huge! Wallstreet can try to squeeze me. I'll hold this mother for 35 years if I have to to get my 4.72 back. They aren't getting my shares for less than what I paid! LOL

      But let's hope BTU surprises us. If they hit or hit big, we could see a 7-10% jump tomorrow to 4.87-5.00. You know the big boys buying cheap shares are ready to get paid.

      Sentiment: Hold

    • I hope your right fox.......we certainly are due for some good news.....

    • edgordon@ymail.com edgordon Apr 17, 2013 4:02 PM Flag

      Hope your right BUT ....... Dont see it happening.

 
ACI
5.01+0.04(+0.80%)Apr 17 4:01 PMEDT

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