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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

  • charts_say_sell_u_dumb_azz charts_say_sell_u_dumb_azz May 11, 2013 10:55 PM Flag

    I'd wait till mid 2016 before buying OOTMC's on ACI

    Assuming ACI even makes it to 2016 with Obamas policy's

    Now there's no guarantee that a repub will win, but it's worth the gamble for a 10 fold increase in your wager..

    I'm hoping ACI lingers here for the next couple years so i can buy Jan. 2018 $10 calls in the summer of 2016.

    For ACI could easily go from $6 to $30 within 1 year of a rat pubs pro coal policy.

    at anyrate, ACI is dead money for the next couple years.


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    • The national debt is huge and while I am not the biggest Obama supporter, people need to realize that he knows this. He's not an idiot. I recently read that the US is planning to export HUGE amounts of N.G. With the amount of natural gas in the ground it's not out of the question that the gov't jacks up the cost for leasing federal lands to drill for the purpose of exporting N.G. You better believe they'll be taxing these companies too. Why do you think the gov't is kicking the debt can down the road? They know the energy that the US has under the ground will bring back big time money to help pay it down. This will lead to increased N.G. prices and increased usage of coal in American plants. I plan to ride ACI for quite some time. Every quarter, my cost basis goes down .03 cents as a result of the dividend. I will sell of half at $10 and hold the rest of my shares until $30. Bet on coal.

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • If there's new development on technology side; that'd be the catalyst; could be sooner or later than 2016; and it could be huge; JMHO.

    • There is no doubt ACI will make it to 2016 . I could see ACI increasing 50% over the next 2 years to the $8 range....and that's being conservative. I wouldn't consider that dead money.

      As for Obama, he isn't going to do anything....he talks from both sides of his mouth as do most politicians to get re-elected.

      Coal has already taken back most of the market it lost to NG in 2012. Sentiment is slowly starting to change and I believe coal has bottomed. JMO

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