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Arch Coal Inc. Message Board

  • brawn412 brawn412 Apr 19, 2014 11:12 AM Flag

    Marcellus Shale production is slowing down

    Zoltan Ban, an energy analyst, has published data showing that Marcellus natural gas production increases is slowing. This is largely due to something called legacy decline. The decline in ng production from existing wells is increasing faster than production from new wells is increasing.

    The EIA is predicting that the Marcellus will increase production this year by 3-4 trillion. Zoltan Ban finds this highly improbable. Increases in Marcellus Shale production this year will be much less than that. And when legacy declines balance with productiopn increases there will be no increases in Marcellus ng production. Something that may happen this year or next year.

    Outside of the Marcellus, natural gas production is declining at about 3 trillion a year. Marcellus production increases have negated that decline recently. However, when Marcellus ng production is stable or, OMG, decreases, we will have significant declines in total natural gas production.

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