website to measure it with:
Opening this site will show you three distinct ways to
measure the value of HOTT. When you open this site, you
must click on the PGE, Present and the Industry Value
captions in order to open the respective evaluations to
view them. IT WILL NOT PRESENT YOU WITH 3 WAYS OF
EVALUATING WITHOUT CLICKING AND OPENING THE SUBSEQUENT PAGES
OF THIS URL.
The First wILL will be the PEG
Value which means the Price X EArnings X Growth Value=
$ 54.82 which is 318 % higher than it's close of 13
The Second will it's Present Value which is simply
next year's projected earnings X it's current PE ratio
which = $ 36.18 or 171 % higher then it's current close
of 13 3/8.
The Third will be it's Present
Value which is the current retail apparal industry
sector's PE Ratio which is 11.11 (that HOTT is in) X next
year's forecasted HOTT earnings = $ 17 which is 27 %
higher than it's current close of 13 3/8.
of the three ways in which HOTT is measured, it's
valued either considerably higher than it's current 13
3/8 or as little as 27 % higher.
believer that when "things get overdone" on Wall Street
stocks always always fall much harder than your wildest
guesses, conversely, when they rise, they always rise
faster and farther than your wildest guesses. What I'm
saying is both the $ 54.82 and $ 36.18 calculated
guesses evaluating HOTT may appear high and probably are,
but on the same plain, the $ 17 evaluation may be
considerably lower than where it really should be
Who in their wildest imagination would have ever
guessed that PSUN (Pacific Sunwear) trading as low as $
12, in mid December 98, would move back up and exceed
$ 24 and do it within 30 days? I certainly believed
PSUN had an excellent chance to move back to the low
20's and maybe even approach $ 25 once again, but not
in less than 30 days. It sure fooled me and this
only proves my theory of Wall Street continuing to
"over do" what they do, both on the downside and
What I'm saying here is that when Wall Street "hates
and punishes" a stock, it does it with a vengence,
and conversely when Wall Street "falls in love" with
a stock it always does so in such a "sickening
sweet way" that real evaluations are soon forgotten and
stocks go beyond your wildest expectations.
counting on this same scenerio of being "over loved" to
develop here for HOTT. It happens all the time and all
the pieces of the puzzle are in place for it to occur
again, i.e. the low float of 2 M shares, with 215 K
shares short, the company's announcement to repurchase
up to 250 K shares, the leveling of HOTT's sales
away from major dependence on Holiday seasons, the
extraordinary balance sheet with no debt, the extremely low PE
of 12, etc., etc., etc.,.........
I can go on
and on and on but will leave the rest up to the
shares of HOTT itself.
We have a real HOTT one
here. Opposing points of view are always welcome and
will be addressed.
actually the wife wants to put a room above the
den so i need to cash out something to pay for it.
wanted a little pop if possible to get whatever i could.
i've been here for over a yr and know the company.
i'll be back...just taking a temporary breather. keep
the faith. geaux ND...i am irish.
Good work..your upgrade posted today...I know it
was already factored in on research, but doesn't hurt
to have it here too!
As far as price drop on low
volume..I have always believed that to be a good sign, a
sign that nobody is selling ...price drop on high
volume is what hurts! Anyhow, my opinion is that we will
hang around 24 untill we get closer to earnings
release or some news comes in..remember, we were at 12
less than 2 months ago...stayin strong on PSUN!!
IMO... You shouldn't be looking for a point or
This company is growing with a
strong balance sheet, no debt, and a reasonable
valuation at less than 2x sales.
Keep the faith and
don't cut yourself out of potential gains.
stop-loss if you're really nervous.
i faxed yahoo the bbrs upgrade, briefing.com's
e-mail and my e-mail to bbrs. i e-mailed anaylst at
briefing.com to see if she had any other news but haven't
gotten any reply. now you know just where you fall on
the pecking order even though you have a few thousand
shares on the line. i'm beginning to feel that yahoo
will only update the research page, i.e bury it since
it is now about two weeks old. oh well..tried. hope
we see something tomorrow. don't like the low volume
and downward drift. right now i'll take high 24+.
good luck all longs.
just got e-mail back from briefing.com. they
received a copy of the upgrade and have forwarded it to
yahoo. they said it usually takes a couple of days to
post. i.e. now you know why the big boys know about
upgrades and downgrades before you do. hope to get a pop
mid week......geaux psun!!!
Good work on trying to get the upgrade
You talk about protecting the gains we have now, are
you suggesting putting in a stop, and if so, at what
I love the recent gains, and the movement upward
has been strong..I just wish the volume would pick up
anaylst from briefing.com contacted ms. k of bbrs
this morning and the writer e-mailed ms. k around 9:30
est also to find out the status of the upgrade and
the potential effect of it's posting. while i didn't
get a reply from ms.k, it sure looks good that the
volume picked up around 12est and continued up. possibly
briefing.com will be posting tomorrow or monday and bbrs and
other mm's buying(??) before briefing.com posting??
looks interesting to me. whatever the case, i like what
i see and if posted i think we should see about 25
or slightly more. still a long time until earnings
release so be careful to protect whatever gains you might
have. by the way i attended a seminar in boston last
year...great city. got to bring the family there next time. go