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The Blackstone Group L.P. Message Board

  • carolyn_novice carolyn_novice Dec 5, 2013 8:57 AM Flag

    Lesson in Volatility Trend BX @ 28.17

    For traders only

    There is good chance BX will go down below 28 this week, if so with higher volume or lower volume.

    If the volume is more than 5 million like yesterday, then we have a double top to keep in mind.

    If the volume increase while stock decline it is very, very bearish.
    Has BX made the top for this year?
    Can you afford to sit back in a lower trading range, and then please ignore this message?

    Volatility is the difference between High and Low Weekly.

    Weekly------- Volume------- High ------- Low ------- Volatility
    21-Oct ------- 55,659 ------- 28.73 ------- 26.53 ------- 2.20
    28-Oct ------- 46,492 ------- 27.55 ------- 25.94 ------- 1.61
    4-Nov ------- 50,738 ------- 27.72 ------- 25.60 ------- 2.12
    11-Nov------- 42,824 ------- 27.88 ------- 25.60 ------- 2.28
    18-Nov------- 34,996 ------- 27.81 ------- 26.15 ------- 1.66
    25-Nov------- 33,308 ------- 28.71 ------- 27.43 ------- 1.28
    2-Dec ------- 52,216 ------- 29.48 ------- 28.03 ------- 1.45 Not included

    Average Volatility for 6 weeks = 1.86
    High – Volatility = 29.48 – 1.86 = 27.62 .. Will BX go down to 27.75 ?
    Low +Volatility = 28.03 +1.86 = 29.89.. Will BX make a new High 29.89…I don’t think.

    Sincerely,

    Carolyn Novice
    I have no positron in BX, and I am here to help traders sell sooner than later at lower price.

    Sentiment: Sell

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BX
33.17+0.02(+0.06%)Sep 19 4:04 PMEDT

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