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QuinStreet, Inc. Message Board

  • ooh_the_humanity ooh_the_humanity Apr 29, 2011 10:30 AM Flag

    value based on alexa data

    I'm trying to see if the Alexa data correlates to Quinstreet's earnings. Below is a chart (hard to read due to mixed width fonts) showing quarterly EPS and Revenue for QNST, the page view delta from the quarter before (estimated from viewing the Alexa chart) and what would have been the estimated EPS and Revenue based on the Alexa PV delta.

    Alexa Data Estimated
    EPS Rev PV~ EPS Rev
    Q4 4 77 ---- -- --
    Q1 11 91 +10% 16 85
    Q2 13 89 +70% 18 154
    Q3 16 104 +10% 14 98
    Q4 14 98 -10% 14 94
    Q1 ?? ?? 0% 14 98
    Q2 ?? ?? 15%* ?? ??


    There is no correlation on EPS, but it isn't too far off on revenue but for one quarter. At least it predicts the direction and magnitude.

    Anyone think this data is useful for predicting this quarter's revenues? (basically flat from last quarter)

 
QNST
5.82-0.12(-2.02%)Jul 31 4:00 PMEDT