Technically, VIDE has been showing support around $3.65 and resistance in the $4.40 price range. It has 78% chance of upward move.Check here:'http://www.foxchart.com/index.php?symbol=vide&go=Get+Chart'
Your 70% probability looks like it has happened. It looks like a it is at a 12 month high, and moving higher. Nice.