Its impossible to know what the stock price will be, but fairly sure, it will be lower. Remember the Sequenom rule:
Positive news: No stock change, or small change.
Negative news: Stock crash.
Now, for Illston to deny a injunction again, ... she needs very, very big balls, especially now that her peers just about destroyed every claim she made.
She probably is going to try and force a settlement, then giving the injunction. Its not because she had her ass kicked, that her opinion / favoritism has changed. Especially her argument that a injunction = certain dead for Ariosa. If she can not force this, the chance is indeed low that she will deny a injunction.
But then again, Ariosa can probably pull a whole bunch of delay tactics out of there bag. Assume at minimum several more months for a injunction outcome.
Your better of "hoping" for other news, then the injunction.
I think it goes down to the $2.75 for the close. It might hit $2.50 during the day. I do believe that it could go back to $3 before the next earnings announcement. So, how high does it go if they get the injunction, $4?