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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Message Board

  • dcisinsane dcisinsane Dec 22, 2011 9:19 AM Flag

    Drove past a Tampa Chipotle ...

    Store had a line that extended outside the door . Interesting .

    It was 12:10 , the lunch rush so maybe that was normal but if I owned that location , I would indeed be very happy .

    I also would be even happier to SELL that location for 3 million and feel like I won the lottery .

    How on earth does this scam trade at a valuation of 9 million per unit ?

    Even stranger ... how did they get that idiot sarah to go on TV and rave about the stock being a bargain ??? The other commentator was polite and brought up the obvious flaws in her view but she pretty much treated Sarah w/ the same kindness you would offer to a retarded person at church .

    I'll short more today and be laughing soon w/ extra cash when this puppy faces a severe reality check .

    The facts always matter in the end .

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Ive been wrong many times over the last 30 years in the game .

      The "WRONG" trades are the best education .

      The WRONG trades teach you to NEVER OVER LEVERAGE ... been there before for a good decade ... every day feels like you are in front of a firing squad ... FUN in your 30's ... NOT so much on your 50's .

      The wrong trades teach you to USE options since longs always take LONGER to pop .... SELL CALLS . THe Short trades ALWAYS take longer to die ... SELL PUTS . The income in a slow year on a decent mid 7 figure portfolio can be several hundred thousand . My goal is typically 1 1/2 to 2 % per month from options .

      I screwed up this week by NOT selling MORE puts against the short . This would have made me thousands of easy dollars this week that I left behind . Unfortunate since I should know better . ALWAYS take the income .

      Ive made and LOST millions ... not much surprises me .

      Im diversified but this CMG remains my FAV SHORT . I realize games are being played and I accept that w/out all the name calling and SEC investigation crap that I hear too often .

      The SEC couldnt find their DKS in the dark . Pathetic losers who couldnt get hired at real law firms and took the easy GOV path that the idiots normally take when they accept their fate as lifes second class bums.

      Madoff ... and a dozen other cases make this abundantly clear . SOme taco chain thats selling at 9 million per unit means nothing to them . They come in after the fall ... "enron" deals .

      SEC could care less when ENRON was flying ... this is typical .

      You have a better chance of hoping the tooth fairy leaves you a dollar than the SEC reading your concerns .

      I see a fun play that is doomed to collapse ... I just dont know when . Im in VERY good company too . Pop her another 10 ... 20 .... even 40 . We'll see this taco store back at 75 soon enough .

      Meanwhile ... Im up SEVRAL times the average hedge fund ( only 4 % this year according to todays CNBC }

      I hope to close out the year at about 20 % net net gain . I can live w/ that and keep laugh at myself but mostly the clowns who dont understand gravity and reality.

      Sooner or later , the facts always matter .

    • if you're wrong you'll be a corpse on the side of the road with worms eating you, just like everyone that convinced me to get out at 85 a few years ago.

    • Geez ... we'll just make 150 to 300 K .

      Have a great weekend .

      Shorts own 2012 ... like we did in 2008 when the rest of the world was going insane and we played in the Islands .

      Weeeeeeeeeeeeeee ..........

    • Its a terrible gain for so much capital but it'll look MUCH better soon .

      This hyped pump scam popped almost 20 bucks this week .

      On the amount of shares I have thats almost 100 K of gains that vanished .

      I'll be up over 150 to 3000 K soon when she tumbles .

      Add the trading profits ... add the put and naked call income ... I think I'll keep food on the table ... in the Bahamas .

      Enjoy the NJ winter kids . Pump away ... I'll short more and keep laughing .

      Krispe Kreme time soon . Same scam ... different day .

    • Its a terrible gain for so much capital but it'll look MUCH better soon .

      This hyped pump scam popped almost 20 bucks this week .

      On the amount of shares I have thats almost 100 K of gains that vanished .

      I'll be up over 150 to 150 K soon when she tumbles .

      Add the trading profits ... add the put and naked call income ... I think I'll keep food on the table ... in the Bahamas .

      Enjoy the NJ winter kids . Pump away ... I'll short more and keep laughing .

      Krispe Kreme time soon . Same scam ... different day .

    • Let me get this stright. You've got $1.6 mil. of margin tied up in this and you've only got $8,500 to show for it? 1/2%? Well, good luck, doesn't seem like much of a return.

    • Weeeeeeeeeeee ....

      Forgot to go back ... system only goes back 3 months .

      Realized gains ...... 34,976

      UN .................... ( 26,848 }

      YES ..................... Net GAIN ..... 8,492

      Not much but I thought I was ahead .

      All I have to do to print money is sell 48 puts around 320 and it'll provide some great Bahama $$$$$ for a party but I think I may miss the free fall if I sell too many .

      240 cant be far away .

    • If they already have lines out the door, how can they increase same store sales? It appears same store growth will have to slow, which won't be good for the stock price. They are estimating revenue growth of 15-20% for the next five years. That means they have to grow same store sales at a 6-10% rate. How can you do that if you already have lines out the door?

      • 2 Replies to billy_berew
      • At least part of that SSS growth they think they can accomplish by hiking prices?

        How much are people willing to pay for a burrito in a place that really isn't suited for sitting down and enjoying a meal?

      • Good point .

        Also ... If I was the largest stockholder , I would try to open a thousand new stores ASAP for a cost realistically in the ONE MILLION per store range ... cheaper in the smaller areas w/ the recession underway ... and GET THE AVERAGE OF NINE ... thats right folks ..... NINE MILLION PER UNIT cost down .

        Buffett used to say , when you buy the stock ... think ... WOULD YOU BUY THE ENTIRE COMPANY ????

        Can a smart person start some taco stores w/ healthy ingredients and LOW paid workers ... at about a million per unit ????

        ALL DAY LONG .

        Allllllllllll Dayyyyyyyyyyyy LONG !!!!

    • Shorts just do not understand how good the product is, you can not beat this stock up too badly, it will rebound and burn you. The company will continue to grow at a rapid pace for years to come.

      I love the smell of burning shorts.

 
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