I tend to agree with those who argue that the stock is on a path to the 200 day moving average. I made a lot of money buying the dip to the 200 day in August. I sold 3/4th of my position for an almost an 80% gain in early October @$33.65. I missed a few points, but I've been bit by being greedy before here. Take for example the 50% drop from July to August, most of which occurred in a 2 week period prior to the opening of the discount window. There was a 300 point positive day on the dow where every fiber of my being told me to take profit. I ignored my judgement and lost tons of money. Fortunately I played my cards right and doubled up the day the discount window opened. Now, I am quite sure that RIO will seek the moving average again. We have been trading in a 33-38 range for over a month and are trending lower. Despite the strong up day today, we are down when usually we are traking the dow. We saw this last week when the DOW was up big and RIO scratched out a .03 cent gain. This a sign of weakness that I cannot ignore. The stock has had a wonderful run and it has lost its mojo. It is no longer in the IBD 100. It has had more than the 5 distribution days IBD signals as a reversal trend. Even as I write this, the stock is getting hammerred. Dow up 70, rio down almost a dollar. I am bullish long term on this story, but I cannot imagine this negative trend will be broken until the 200 day average is met. Until then, I will sit on the sidelines and watch. If I am wrong and miss a few points, so be it. Unfortunately, I do not think that I am.