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Alliant Energy Corporation Message Board

  • eastbearcreek eastbearcreek Apr 4, 1999 6:02 PM Flag

    Deregulation and Nuclear generation

    I don't believe you will ever see REC's and
    Muni's pose much of a threat to take large
    commercial/industrial customers away. There generation base is so
    limited. If they were to bid lower, it would most
    certainly be with purchased power. Many Muni's now contract
    for their power, as they either have little or no
    generation capacity. And the ones that do generate enough
    power, would probably not be able to bring a large
    customer on line. I really can not see the surrounding
    utilities as much of a threat in the near future, except
    Cal-Energy. However, they paid dearly for Mid-American. There
    is still a good chance LNT will lose customers, but
    it may come from some company like Edison
    International. Duke Power, or some other powerhouse.
    LNT has
    already begun the process of ridding itself of it's nuke
    plants. It is confirmed that they will be combined with 3
    others in the area to form a new company. It's been
    hinted that LNT wants to go the transmission route,
    divesting of generation, and probably getting into
    brokering electricty through it's arrangement with
    Cargill.
    This is only my opinion. I do know a few folks at LNT
    that lead me to believe this is the case. Regardless,
    they have to start showing their hand pretty soon.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Sorry about that! With looking at so many message boards, my message was placed on the "wrong one". Forget previous message - LNT is a solid company. Again, sorry about that!

    • Yes, it is great to see some positive comments on
      this message board. Frankly, with so many negative
      comments being posted, it's no wonder stock price, morale,
      etc. has been down! Could this be likened to "self
      destructing, from within"? In other words, will investors want
      to participate in a company with negative (or
      positive) attitudes and comments? I believe it's a fairly
      simple answer!

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    • Enter Symbol: lnt

      http://investor.msn.com/research/wizards/srwtarget.asp?Symbol=lnt

      Alliant Energy Price Target < Back Next
      >
      Glossary
      What's the best guess for the
      stock price in 1-2 years?
      Investors fix targets for
      most stocks by estimating future earnings per share
      and then applying a price-to-earnings "multiple",
      also known as the P/E ratio. Companies with the most
      consistent earnings history or strongest growth prospects
      receive the highest P/E multiples. We calculate price
      targets for the current and next fiscal year by applying
      the stock's current multiple to the average
      professional analyst's estimate.
      Valuation using Alliant
      Energy's current multiple (P/E):

      Fiscal Year Est
      Low/High Price Range Avg. Est. Price % Change for Average

      12/1999 $44.29-$46.35 $45.32 55.94%
      12/2000
      $47.38-$49.44 $47.79 64.45%

      Alliant Energy current
      price: $29.06
      Alliant Energy current multiple (P/E):
      20.60

      Alliant Energy average 12/1999 estimate:
      $2.20
      Alliant Energy low 12/1999 estimate: $2.15

      Alliant Energy high 12/1999 estimate: $2.25

      Alliant Energy average 12/2000 estimate: $2.32

      Alliant Energy low 12/2000 estimate: $2.30
      Alliant
      Energy high 12/2000 estimate: $2.40




      What's the best guess for the stock if it were valued
      like its peers?
      Investors often come to believe
      that a stock is undervalued or overvalued compared to
      other stocks in its industrial group. To calculate an
      alternate target price for the current and next fiscal year
      based on those beliefs, investors can apply the average
      PE multiple for a company's industrial group to the
      average professional analyst's earnings estimate for the
      company in those periods.

      Valuation using the
      industry's current multiple (P/E):

      Fiscal Year Est.
      Price % Change
      12/1999 $39.16 34.74%
      12/2000
      $41.30 42.09%

      Alliant Energy current price:
      $29.06
      Diversified Utilities group current multiple
      (P/E): 17.80


      Alliant Energy average 12/1999
      analyst estimate: $2.20
      Alliant Energy average
      12/2000 analyst estimate: $2.32



      How
      certain is the price estimate?
      Investors estimate the
      level of unanimity about a stock's prospects among
      analysts by calculating the range between the most
      optimistic and most pessimistic estimates.



      Average number of analysts covering Alliant Energy:
      6
      Alliant Energy analysts' high/low spread: 4%
      Alliant
      Energy analysts' confidence: High

    • Found the following article over the weekend on
      the Milwaukee
      Journal/Sentinel Online website RE:
      Alliant seeking an emergency
      order to exceed 25% cap.
      http://www.journalsentinel.com/wi/990620/utilityseeksemergency.asp

    • I didn't put the figure in place on the article, they were put there by someone who knows more than I do on how to place a price on the future of this stock.

    • "Companies with the most consistent earnings
      history ..... receive the highest P/E multiples.
      "

      ...here is what I hardly call consistant earnings
      history.

      Year EPS Revenue Dividend Rate
      1994 2.13 816.2
      1.92
      1995 1.90 807.2 1.94
      1996 2.34 932.7 1.97
      1997
      1.99 919.2 2.00
      1998 1.26 2,130.8 2.00

      The
      only reason LNT currently has a PE of 20 is because
      the denominator "E" is low. Current multiple is not
      fair to use for a valuation. A fair PE, would be based
      on EPS growth prospects, 2.32/2.19 (from your
      estimates) is about 6, but will let you have 15 x 2.20 EPS =
      $33 fair value.

      IMHO

      PS.....anyone know
      the directions to Casa de Erroll

    • What's the best guess for the stock price in 1-2
      years?
      Investors fix targets for most stocks by estimating future
      earnings per share and then applying a price-to-earnings
      "multiple", also known as the P/E ratio. Companies with the
      most consistent earnings history or strongest growth
      prospects receive the highest P/E multiples. We calculate
      price targets for the current and next fiscal year by
      applying the stock's current multiple to the average
      professional analyst's estimate.
      Valuation using Alliant
      Energy's current multiple (P/E):

      Fiscal Year Est
      Low/High Price Range Avg. Est. Price % Change for Average

      12/1999 $44.94-$47.02 $45.77 54.50%
      12/2000
      $48.07-$50.16 $48.49 63.67%

      Alliant Energy current
      price: $29.63
      Alliant Energy current multiple (P/E):
      20.90

      Alliant Energy average 12/1999 estimate:
      $2.19
      Alliant Energy low 12/1999 estimate: $2.15

      Alliant Energy high 12/1999 estimate: $2.25

      Alliant Energy average 12/2000 estimate: $2.32

      Alliant Energy low 12/2000 estimate: $2.30
      Alliant
      Energy high 12/2000 estimate: $2.40

    • Grubman in this week's Barrons predicts that McLeod will trade up to 95. A tidy morsel for LNT.

    • MG&E is cooked. They are the hole in the doughnut
      as far as ever trying to expand, forget it. They
      will always be the thorn in the side of LNT until they
      sink, swim or more likely, be eaten by a bigger
      fish.

      The asset cap issue is heating up. The Milwaukee and
      Madison papers, especially Milwaukee, will be following
      this issue pretty close, they are trying to add the
      issue into the WI. budget debate. The longer it drags
      on, the worse off all utilities are with operations
      in WI. It is a dumb law and Wisconsin continues to
      be anti-business in a lot of ways.

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LNT
67.77+0.30(+0.44%)Feb 5 4:04 PMEST