Would you buy a new S Class MBZ for $40k? The analogy to TPX at $30 is similar... you know, about buying something for about half what it is worth (in the case of TPX, assuming a reasonable multiple of normalized ebitda.
The problem you are going to have is that no one is going to sell you either one of these assets at such a ridiculous discount. So you are going to have to pay a bit more to cover in that little short of yours... and if you wait just a bit longer while the builder stocks all begin to reflect the spring activity ina market where supplies are constrained, presale activity is becoming the norm, and prices are rising with demand and availability of credit is about to expand... well pal, you are going to be paying significantly more than $50 for those cover shares. LOL