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  • kingoogal kingoogal Sep 25, 2007 11:17 PM Flag

    Great BIDU Gamblers--from Gambling Tables

    =
    Sep 25, 2007
    =
    ---------------------------------------------------------
    The options activity at certain strikes over the past few days has been interesting to study. Lets look at changes in OI between 9/24 and 9/25 at certain strikes as shown below:

    date~~~~~~~strike~~~CALL Vol~~~CALL OI~~~PUT Vol~~~PUT OI~~~~CALL+PUT
    =========================================================================================
    9/24~~~~~~~200~~~~~~~511~~~~~~~1051~~~~~~~521~~~~~~~1501~~~~~~~2,552
    9/24~~~~~~~210~~~~~~~21~~~~~~~963~~~~~~~438~~~~~~~1473~~~~~~~2,436
    9/24~~~~~~~220~~~~~~~93~~~~~~~1141~~~~~~~661~~~~~~~2464~~~~~~~3,605
    9/24~~~~~~~230~~~~~~~1348~~~~~~~1675~~~~~~~619~~~~~~~2157~~~~~~~3,832
    9/24~~~~~~~240~~~~~~~243~~~~~~~838~~~~~~~1063~~~~~~~1191~~~~~~~2,029
    9/24~~~~~~~250~~~~~~~415~~~~~~~1592~~~~~~~1287~~~~~~~1468~~~~~~~3,060
    9/24~~~~~~~260~~~~~~~676~~~~~~~1111~~~~~~~1970~~~~~~~1914~~~~~~~3,025

    TOTAL~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~8371~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~12168~~~~~~~20539
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    9/25~~~~~~~200~~~~~~~26~~~~~~~839~~~~~~~165~~~~~~~1667~~~~~~~2506
    9/25~~~~~~~210~~~~~~~29~~~~~~~958~~~~~~~326~~~~~~~1604~~~~~~~2562
    9/25~~~~~~~220~~~~~~~551~~~~~~~1127~~~~~~~425~~~~~~~2385~~~~~~~3512
    9/25~~~~~~~230~~~~~~~614~~~~~~~1523~~~~~~~282~~~~~~~2261~~~~~~~3784
    9/25~~~~~~~240~~~~~~~258~~~~~~~896~~~~~~~526~~~~~~~1364~~~~~~~2260
    9/25~~~~~~~250~~~~~~~243~~~~~~~1569~~~~~~~1001~~~~~~~1784~~~~~~~3353
    9/25~~~~~~~260~~~~~~~435~~~~~~~1334~~~~~~~1121~~~~~~~2846~~~~~~~4180

    TOTAL~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~8246~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~13911~~~~~~~22157

    As you can see call OI decreased this morning that means somebody closed the open calls
    or exercised them. But the decrease is not that much as compared to increase on PUT side

    On the put side looks like gamblers are betting on big drop or just protecting their gains...
    in any case this is just waste of money because the smart money has already received
    leaked numbers and they are the ones giving support to this stock no matter what..

    As of tonight the max pain strike is 280

    But i think the killing feild is 300 strike. Why? Watch for changes in OI
    for following strikes tomorrow morning

    Look at call volume at 300----------smart money was writing CALLS !!!!

    date~~~~~~~strike~~~CALL Vol~~~CALL OI~~~PUT Vol~~~PUT OI~~~~CALL+PUT
    ===============================================================================
    9/25~~~~~~~270~~~~~~~251~~~~~~~1557~~~~~~~889~~~~~~~1694~~~~~~~3,251
    9/25~~~~~~~280~~~~~~~341~~~~~~~2120~~~~~~~849~~~~~~~1806~~~~~~~3,926
    9/25~~~~~~~290~~~~~~~1196~~~~~~~1676~~~~~~~970~~~~~~~1055~~~~~~~2,731
    9/25~~~~~~~300~~~~~~~2856~~~~~~~3529~~~~~~~991~~~~~~~1371~~~~~~~4,900

    fOr the 300 call holders to make any money the stock has to go up by more than $21

    WOW! can this happen? I am not sure,

    BUTT rememer what happened to CROX when they annouced earnings and stock split..

    As always somebody knows something !!!

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Nice outline King Google. In Your opinion bidu will not finish over 340 by OE nor will it finish below 310. Thanks.

      Mongo

    • =
      June 18, 08
      =
      =========================================================================

      ~~~~~~2-DAY~~~~~YSTRDAY~~~~~~~~~~~2-DAY~~~~~YSTRDAY~~~~~~
      STRIKE~~~~~CALL OI~~~~~CALL OI~~~~~CHANGE~~~~~PUT OI~~~~~PUT OI~~~~~CHANGE

      280~~~~~1,189~~~~~1,197~~~~~(8)~~~~~1,815~~~~~1,783~~~~~32
      290~~~~~798~~~~~819~~~~~(21)~~~~~2,643~~~~~2,651~~~~~(8)
      300~~~~~1,192~~~~~1,240~~~~~(48)~~~~~4,727~~~~~4,375~~~~~352
      310~~~~~1,130~~~~~1,132~~~~~(2)~~~~~6,276~~~~~6,486~~~~~(210)
      320~~~~~1,469~~~~~1,691~~~~~(222)~~~~~3,175~~~~~2,642~~~~~533
      330~~~~~2,049~~~~~2,004~~~~~45 ~~~~~3,303~~~~~2,611~~~~~692
      340~~~~~3,183~~~~~3,267~~~~~(84)~~~~~2,218~~~~~2,117~~~~~101

      Big changes in PUTs OI yesterday as the price was up and up...and then came down...

      not a good sign...

      Although the max pain is @340...
      the market is trying to reach its max pain for this month and that could mean BIDU will gravitate towards highest OI strike
      in this case that happens to be 310 gambling table....

      if you don't like options dirty game --- stay out of the CASINO

      otherwise play @ 330 table....

      BIDU WILL NOT GO ABOVE 340 by FRY-DAY !!

      BIDU WILL NOT GO BELOW 310 by FRY-DAY !!

      I wish you success with your gamble...

    • for BIDU to hit 350 very soon.

      BIG MONEY is in, $350 is firm and $360 may be hit as well.

      Shorts' nightmare!!!!!

    • =
      =
      =
      ==================================================================

      loook @ the call and put volumes @330 gambling table

      lotta bets were placed in both directions

      look for change in OI, that should tell you the direction we will be heading...

      max pain is @340 !! as of tonight...

      generally volume up, OI up, price UP means more gamblers are getting attracted to the casino...very good sign that gamblers are willing to bet their hard earned money in the BIDU casino...

      for the greater good manipulators will try to keep this stock down...or close to 340 at least that is the plan looks like...

      let me repeat,

      if we cross 340 lotta gambler will be in big big trouble...

      i wish you success with your gamble...

    • =
      =
      =
      ====================================================================
      The fun has just started... because we crushed the wall of 330

      The real real fun will start when we get close to 340....

    • =
      June 13, 08
      =
      =======================================================================

      I think it is important to look at how bets were placed @340 gambling table...

      Funny thing is OI was increasing as the price was declining, meaning JOKERS on YMB were expecting BIDU to go below $xxx and they wanted to pocket premium

      Well these JOKERS were doing this @330 strike also...

      NOW next week if manipulators bring BIDU down to 310 level then yes they are smart gamblers....

      Why would manipulators close BIDU @310 by FRY-DAY?

      Because 310 has the highest OI and the MAX PAIN is @340

      So the nearest class M planet to land the ship killing most gamblers is 310 !!!

      Boys and Girls,

      considering what happened today, it appears that lotta money on sideline was getting itchy to place bets in anticipation of next week

      and shorts got scared and started jumping in the FIRE!

      if BIDU crosses the wall of 330 --------then 340 is possible, and if we cross 340? OMG OMG... I feel the PAIN of the GAMBLERS who wrote those calls...


      remember manipulators do not like to take prisoners, they leave only body bags....

      Next week is gonna be SPECTACULAR!!!

      ---------------example of 340 table-----------------

      Date~~~~last price~~~~~CALL OI~~~~~PUT OI~~~~CALL+PUT
      ========================================================
      6/13~~~~~~~$326.84~~~~~~~3415~~~~~~~2143~~~~~~~5,558
      6/12~~~~~~~$315.42~~~~~~~3230~~~~~~~2209~~~~~~~5,439
      6/11~~~~~~~318.98~~~~~~~3114~~~~~~~2305~~~~~~~5419
      6/10~~~~~~~326.29~~~~~~~2595~~~~~~~2211~~~~~~~4806
      6/9~~~~~~~~332.00~~~~~~~2089~~~~~~~2322~~~~~~~4411
      6/6~~~~~~~~347.87~~~~~~~2030~~~~~~~2413~~~~~~~4443
      6/5~~~~~~~~361.81~~~~~~~2203~~~~~~~2642~~~~~~~4845
      6/4~~~~~~~~344.52~~~~~~~2326~~~~~~~2558~~~~~~~4884
      6/3~~~~~~~~342.09~~~~~~~2318~~~~~~~2794~~~~~~~5112
      6/2~~~~~~~~337.75~~~~~~~2306~~~~~~~2537~~~~~~~4843
      5/30~~~~~~~345.06~~~~~~~2067~~~~~~~2440~~~~~~~4507
      5/29~~~~~~~344.93~~~~~~~1999~~~~~~~2612~~~~~~~4611
      5/28~~~~~~~344.94~~~~~~~2049~~~~~~~2601~~~~~~~4650
      5/27~~~~~~~336.5~~~~~~~1857~~~~~~~2572~~~~~~~4429
      5/23~~~~~~~328.71~~~~~~~1777~~~~~~~2766~~~~~~~4543
      5/22~~~~~~~335.01~~~~~~~1171~~~~~~~2375~~~~~~~3546
      5/21~~~~~~~354.99~~~~~~~953~~~~~~~1535~~~~~~~2488
      5/20~~~~~~~369.08~~~~~~~1072~~~~~~~1552~~~~~~~2624
      --------------------------------------------------------------------------
      similar betting is found @320 and 330 table also... I think people who wrote naked calls got very complacent with the notion that BIDU was gonna tank on CPI numbers

      I wish you success with your gamble....

    • =
      =
      =
      ======================================================================
      330 is the wall

      if we crush that wall with goog volume

      there is no prayer for all the jokers who sold 330 and above calls...

      slap your friend if he/she is not placing bets on call tables

    • =
      Jun 12, 08
      =
      ======================================================================

      YHOO GOOG news should be good for the internet sector tomorrow...

      meaning...

      YHOO is still available for date

      MSFT is still looking for someone for date

      BIDU is growing company in the land of 1.2B+ population, that will be in limelight in coming weeks...

      Granted US stock market is going through some rough times, but that is just for a short while,

      call volumes at key gambling tables look really enticing....

      lets see the change in OI tomorrow morning and decide how we want to gamble our hard earned money in BIDU casino....

      I wish you success with your gamble...

    • huge buying activities at 320,330,340 calls tell me BIDU will close between $340 to $350 range this OE.

      Big fund will give lots of shorts a big supprise.

      Do not short, go call this it!

    • Here we go.....whats your take King Google?

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