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XL Group plc Message Board

  • wolkthisway wolkthisway Mar 25, 2010 10:32 AM Flag

    Predicting NBV

    Seems to me there are several key components at work:

    1. Core earnings
    2. CAT activity
    3. Movement of credit spreads

    I am reasonably confident on #1 going forward and thanks to Pete's insights, feel confident with the staff additions and changes they are making/have made.

    CAT activity is relatively easy for us to track. The market seems to have digested the recently disclosed losses and yawned.

    I am wondering if anyone out there knows which credit spreads are most impactful to their investments and how to track their movement?

    Thanks in advance

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